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Econometrica Vol. 94 No. 1 2026

A Framework for Geoeconomics

Christopher Clayton1; Matteo Maggiori2; Jesse Schreger3

1 School of Management, Yale University · 2 Graduate School of Business, Stanford University · 3 Economics Division, Columbia Business School

Abstract

Governments use their countries' economic strength from financial and trade relationships to achieve geopolitical and economic goals. We provide a model of the sources of geoeconomic power and how it is wielded. The source of this power is the ability of a hegemonic country to coordinate threats across disparate economic relationships as a means of enforcement on foreign entities. The hegemon wields this power to demand costly actions out of the targeted entities, including mark‐ups, import restrictions, tariffs, and political concessions. The hegemon uses its power to change targeted entities' activities to manipulate the global equilibrium in its favor and increase its power. A sector is strategic either in helping the hegemon form threats or in manipulating the world equilibrium via input‐output amplification. The hegemon acts a global enforcer, thus adding value to the world economy, but destroys value by distorting the equilibrium in its favor.

DOI
10.3982/ecta23206
Volume
94
Issue
1
Pages
105-136
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

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