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Econometrica Vol. 94 No. 2 2026

Monotonicity and Robust Implementation Under Forward‐Induction Reasoning

Pierpaolo Battigalli1,2; Emiliano Catonini3

1 Department of Decision Sciences, Bocconi University · 2 IGIER · 3 New York University Shanghai

open access

Abstract

In sequential games, the set of paths consistent with rationality and forward‐induction reasoning may change nonmonotonically when adding transparent restrictions on players' beliefs. Yet, we prove that—in an incomplete‐information environment—predictions become sharper when the restrictions only concern initial beliefs about types. Thus, strong rationalizability for games with payoff uncertainty characterizes the path predictions of forward‐induction reasoning across all possible restrictions on players' hierarchies of exogenous beliefs. With this, we can solve an open problem: the implementation of social choice functions through sequential mechanisms under forward‐induction reasoning—which considerably expands the realm of implementable functions compared with simultaneous mechanisms (Müller (2016))—is indeed robust in the sense of Bergemann and Morris (2009).

DOI
10.3982/ecta23709
Volume
94
Issue
2
Pages
505-536
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

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