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A Mixed Complementarity Model of Hydrothermal Electricity Competition in the Western United States

James Bushnell

University of California Energy Institute, 2539 Channing Way, Berkeley, California 94720

Operations Research 2003

This paper presents a modeling framework for analyzing competition between multiple firms that each possess a mixture of hydroelectric and thermal generation resources. Based upon the concept of a Cournot oligopoly with a competitive fringe, the model characterizes the Cournot equilibrium conditions of a multiperiod hydrothermal scheduling problem. Using data from the western United States electricity market, this framework is implemented as a mixed linear complementarity model. The results show that some firms may find it profitable to allocate considerably more hydro production to off-peak periods then they would under perfect competition. This strategy is a marked contrast to the optimal hydroschedules that would arise if no firms were acting strategically. These results highlight the need to explicitly consider profit-maximizing behavior when examining the impact of regulatory and environmental policies on electricity market outcomes.

DOI
10.1287/opre.51.1.80.12800
Volume
51 (1)
Pages
80-93
Language
en
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