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Economic Growth and the Rise of Large Firms

Zhang Chen

Department of Economics, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology

Econometrica 2026

I document that the right tail of the firm size distribution systematically thickens with economic development. To rationalize this fact, I develop a parsimonious idea search model in which both aggregate growth and the firm size distribution are endogenously determined. The model features an asymptotic balanced growth path along which Gibrat's law holds at each date, and the right tail of the firm size distribution thickens monotonically toward Zipf's law. The model also implies that policies favoring large firms can improve welfare by better utilizing the diffusion externalities arising from idea search.

DOI
10.3982/ecta22110
Volume
94 (4)
Pages
1375-1408
Language
en
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