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Production and Operations Management 2016

Revenue Management for Intermodal Transportation: The Role of Dynamic Forecasting

Ting Luo1,2; Long Gao3; Yalçın Akçay4

1 California State University, Fullerton · 2 The University of Texas at Dallas · 3 University of California, Riverside · 4 Koç University

Abstract

We study a joint capacity leasing and demand acceptance problem in intermodal transportation. The model features multiple sources of evolving supply and demand, and endogenizes the interplay of three levers—forecasting, leasing, and demand acceptance. We characterize the optimal policy, and show how dynamic forecasting coordinates leasing and acceptance. We find (i) the value of dynamic forecasting depends critically on scarcity, stochasticity, and volatility; (ii) traditional mean‐value equivalence approach performs poorly in volatile intermodal context; (iii) mean‐value‐based forecast may outperform stationary distribution‐based forecast. Our work enriches revenue management models and applications. It advances our understanding on when and how to use dynamic forecasting in intermodal revenue management.

DOI
10.1111/poms.12553
Sources
openalex

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