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American Economic Review Vol. 116 No. 8 2026

The Productivity of Professions: Evidence from the Emergency Department

David Chan1; Yiqun Chen

1 US Department of Veterans Affairs, UC Berkeley, and NBER (email: )

Abstract

This paper studies the productivity of nurse practitioners (NPs) and physicians, two professions performing overlapping tasks but with starkly different backgrounds, training, and pay. Using quasi-experimental variation in patient assignment to NPs versus physicians in Veterans Health Administration emergency departments, we find that, on average, NPs use more resources and exhibit a higher 30-day preventable hospitalization rate than physicians. However, the NP-physician performance difference varies by case complexity and severity. Importantly, even larger productivity variation exists within each profession, leading to substantial overlap between the productivity distributions of the two professions; NPs outperform physicians in 38 percent of random pairs.

DOI
10.1257/aer.20241007
Volume
116
Issue
8
Pages
2883-2927
Language
en
Sources
crossref

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