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Review of Financial Studies 2026

Corporate Bond Multipliers: Substitutes Matter

Manav Chaudhary1; Julie Zhiyu Fu2; Jian Li3

1 London School of Economics , the · 2 Washington University in St. Louis, Olin Business School , the · 3 Columbia Business School , the

Abstract

Many economic questions require estimating the price effect of demand shifts (multipliers) in the bond market. Corporate bonds have salient characteristics that distinguish between close and distant substitutes. We show that accounting for heterogeneous substitutability between bonds is critical for correctly estimating multipliers. We find that security-level multipliers are very small. In fact, an order of magnitude smaller than the estimate ignoring heterogeneous substitutability. Nonetheless, portfolio multipliers are substantially larger and monotonically increase with the aggregation level. Furthermore, we find that the multiplier is larger for high-yield bonds, longer-maturity bonds, and bonds with greater arbitrage risks.

DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhag082
Language
en
Sources
crossref openalex

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