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Journal of Finance 2026

Feedback and Contagion through Distressed Competition

Hui Chen; Winston Wei Dou; Hongye Guo; Yan Ji

open access

Abstract

Firms tend to compete more aggressively when facing financial distress. This intensified competition reduces profit margins, pushing them further into distress and adversely affecting their industry peers. To study such feedback and contagion effects, we incorporate strategic competition in a dynamic model with long‐term defaultable debt, exploring various peer interactions such as predation and price wars. The feedback effect represents a novel source of financial distress costs associated with leverage, which helps explain the negative profitability‐leverage relation across industries. Owing to the contagion effect, firms' optimal leverage is often excessively high from an industry perspective, undermining the industry's financial stability.

DOI
10.1111/jofi.70080
Language
en
Sources
crossref openalex

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