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Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2026

The Weight of Compliance: Anti-Money Laundering Enforcement, Banking Sector Composition, and Lending

Şenay Ağca1; Pablo Slutzky2; Stefan Zeume3

1 George Washington University School of Business · 2 Temple University Fox School of Business · 3 University of Illinois at Urbana–Champaign, Gies College of Business

open access

Abstract

We examine how strengthened anti-money laundering (AML) enforcement affects the U.S. banking sector. Heightened enforcement disproportionately raises compliance costs for small banks, especially in counties more exposed to money laundering. In these areas, small banks contract while large banks expand, increasing standardized, government-supported, and secured lending. While aggregate county-level credit does not decline differentially, local outcomes improve. Small establishments grow, non-tradable employment and wages rise, and real estate prices increase. The evidence is consistent with a reallocation mechanism in which AML enforcement shifts activity toward large banks, potentially improving intermediation quality through changes in the composition of local financial intermediation.

DOI
10.1017/s002210902610338x
Pages
1-36
Language
en
Sources
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