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Publication year
Trade Wars and Trade Talks with Data
Resource type
Author/contributor
- Ossa, Ralph (Author)
Title
Trade Wars and Trade Talks with Data
Abstract
How large are optimal tariffs? What tariffs would prevail in a worldwidetrade war? How costly would a breakdown of internationaltrade policy cooperation be? And what is the scope for future multilateral trade negotiations? I address these and other questionsusing a unified framework which nests traditional, new trade, andpolitical economy motives for protection. I find that optimal tariffsaverage 62 percent, world trade war tariffs average 63 percent, thegovernment welfare losses from a breakdown of international tradepolicy cooperation average 2.9 percent, and the possible governmentwelfare gains from future multilateral trade negotiations average0.5 percent. (JEL F12, F13, O19)
Publication
American Economic Review
Volume
104
Issue
12
Pages
4104-46
Date
2014-12
Citation
Ossa, R. (2014). Trade Wars and Trade Talks with Data. American Economic Review, 104, 4104–4146.
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