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Climate Finance

Review of Financial Studies 2020 33(3), 1011-1023 open access
Climate finance is the study of local and global financing of public and private investment that seeks to support mitigation of and adaptation to climate change. In 2017, the Review of Financial Studies launched a competition among scholars to develop research proposals on the topic with the goal of publishing this special volume. We describe the competition, how the nine projects featured in this volume came to be published, and frame their findings within what we view as a broader climate finance research program.

Hedging Climate Change News

Review of Financial Studies 2020 33(3), 1184-1216
We propose and implement a procedure to dynamically hedge climate change risk. We extract innovations from climate news series that we construct through textual analysis of newspapers. We then use a mimicking portfolio approach to build climate change hedge portfolios. We discipline the exercise by using third-party ESG scores of firms to model their climate risk exposures. We show that this approach yields parsimonious and industry-balanced portfolios that perform well in hedging innovations in climate news both in sample and out of sample. We discuss multiple directions for future research on financial approaches to managing climate risk.

Pricing Uncertainty Induced by Climate Change

Review of Financial Studies 2020 33(3), 1024-1066 open access
Geophysicists examine and document the repercussions for the earth’s climate induced by alternative emission scenarios and model specifications. Using simplified approximations, they produce tractable characterizations of the associated uncertainty. Meanwhile, economists write highly stylized damage functions to speculate about how climate change alters macroeconomic and growth opportunities. How can we assess both climate and emissions impacts, as well as uncertainty in the broadest sense, in social decision-making? We provide a framework for answering this question by embracing recent decision theory and tools from asset pricing, and we apply this structure with its interacting components to a revealing quantitative illustration.

Climate Change and Adaptation in Global Supply-Chain Networks

Review of Financial Studies 2024 37(6), 1729-1777 open access
This paper examines how physical climate exposure affects firm performance and global supply chains. We document that heat at supplier locations reduces the operating income of suppliers and their customers. Further, customers respond to perceived changes in suppliers’ exposure: when suppliers’ realized exposure exceeds ex ante expectations, customers are 7% more likely to terminate supplier relationships. Consistent with experience-based learning, this effect increases with signal strength and repetition and decreases with country-level climate adaptation. Subsequent replacement suppliers show a lower expected and realized but similar projected heat exposure. We find similar results for suppliers’ exposure to floods.

Climate Change and Long-Run Discount Rates: Evidence from Real Estate

Review of Financial Studies 2021 34(8), 3527-3571 open access
We show that housing markets provide information about the appropriate discount rates for valuing investments in climate change abatement. Real estate is exposed to both consumption and climate risk and its term structure of discount rates is downward sloping, reaching 2.6% for payoffs beyond 100 years. We use a tractable asset pricing model that incorporates features of climate change to show that the term structure of discount rates for climate-hedging investments is thus upward sloping but bounded above by the risk-free rate. At horizons at which risk-free rates are unavailable, the estimated housing discount rates provide an upper bound.

Does Climate Change Affect Real Estate Prices? Only If You Believe In It

Review of Financial Studies 2020 33(3), 1256-1295
This paper studies whether house prices reflect belief differences about climate change. We show that in an equilibrium model of housing choice in which agents derive utility from ownership in a neighborhood of similar agents, prices exhibit different elasticities to climate risk. We use comprehensive transaction data to relate prices to inundation projections of individual homes and measures of beliefs about climate change. We find that houses projected to be underwater in believer neighborhoods sell at a discount compared to houses in denier neighborhoods. Our results suggest that house prices reflect heterogeneity in beliefs about long-run climate change risks.

Expression of Concern: Mortgage Finance and Climate Change: Securitization Dynamics in the Aftermath of Natural Disasters

Review of Financial Studies 2024 37(11), 3594-3594 open access
This is an Expression of Concern regarding: Amine Ouazad, Matthew E Kahn, Mortgage Finance and Climate Change: Securitization Dynamics in the Aftermath of Natural Disasters, The Review of Financial Studies, Volume 35, Issue 8, August 2022, Pages 3617–3665, https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhab124Following publication of this article, concerns were raised about the reliability of some of the findings reported.1 The journal is investigating these concerns in line with COPE guidance and is publishing this Expression of Concern to inform readers whilst the outcome of the investigation is pending.