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Empowerment, Task Commitment, and Performance Pay

Journal of Labor Economics 2022 40(4), 889-938
Although from the viewpoint of social psychology task commitment is a driving force for intrinsic motivation in the workplace, this topic has been widely ignored in labor and personnel economics so far. Our paper reduces this gap in the literature by offering a theoretical analysis of worker empowerment and task commitment. This approach also helps to explain the observed variety of compensation schemes across workers and firms. By using a large-scale linked employer-employee panel data set, we present empirical evidence that is consistent with the predicted patterns of our theoretical model.

A Pay Change and Its Long-Term Consequences

Journal of Labor Economics 2022 40(3), 543-572
In a professional services firm, top management unexpectedly adjusted the pay of consultants in some divisions to the pay in other divisions. In this quasi experiment, fixed wages increased and bonuses decreased, reducing pay for the high performers and increasing it for the low performers. Individual outputs and efforts decreased by 30%, and attrition and absenteeism increased. The effects were driven by those who were rationally expecting to lose from the pay change. Observing a period of more than 3 years, we show long-term negative reciprocity of those affected but no negative selection effects of new hires.

Firm Decisions and Variation across Universities in Access to High-Wage Jobs: Evidence from Employer Recruiting

Journal of Labor Economics 2022 40(1), 1-46
I show that firm location decisions create barriers to accessing high-wage employers for students at distant universities. I collect office locations and campus recruiting strategies for more than 70 banking and consulting firms from 2000 to 2013. After firms open an office, students at nearby universities are nearly four times more likely to have on-campus access to the firm. Access increases for universities across a wide range of selectivity. Additional data from universities, LinkedIn, and mobility report cards suggest effects on hires and longer-run income success.

Less Competition, More Meritocracy?

Journal of Labor Economics 2022 40(3), 669-701
Uncompetitive contests for grades, promotions, retention, and job assignments, which feature lax standards and limited candidate pools, are often criticized for being unmeritocratic. We show that when contestants are strategic, lax standards and exclusivity can make selection more meritocratic. When many contestants compete for a few promotions, strategic contestants adopt high-risk strategies. Risk-taking reduces the correlation between performance and ability. Through reducing the effects of risk-taking, “Peter principle” promotion policies, which entail promoting some contestants that are unlikely to be worthy, can increase the overall correlation between selection and ability and thus further meritocracy.

World War II and Black Economic Progress

Journal of Labor Economics 2022 40(4), 1053-1091
During the 1940s, a substantial share of southern Black men moved from low-skilled to much better paying semiskilled jobs. Using newly digitized military data, I show that counties with higher World War II casualty rates among semiskilled White soldiers saw an increase in the share of semiskilled Black workers. These deaths opened new employment opportunities for Black southerners and, together with learning effects by employers, can explain 35% of the occupational upgrading at mid-century. I provide evidence that the casualty-induced labor shortages reduced racial barriers to entry, leading to a positive selection of Black workers into semiskilled employment.

World War II, the Baby Boom, and Employment: County-Level Evidence

Journal of Labor Economics 2022 40(2), 437-471
This paper examines the impact of male casualties due to World War II on fertility and female employment in the United States. We rely on the number of casualties at the county level and use a difference-in-differences strategy. While most counties in the United States experienced a baby boom following the war, we find that the increase in fertility was lower in high-casualty-rate counties than in low-casualty-rate counties. Analyzing the channels through which male casualties could have decreased fertility, we provide evidence that county male casualties are positively related to 1950s female employment and household income.

Wage Posting or Wage Bargaining? A Test Using Dual Jobholders

Journal of Labor Economics 2022 40(S1), S469-S493
We employ a revealed preference test to distinguish between wage posting and wage bargaining. Using a sample of dual jobholders in Washington State, we estimate the sensitivity of wages and separation rates to wage shocks in a secondary job. In lower parts of the wage distribution, improvements in the outside option lead to higher separations rates but not to higher wages, consistent with wage posting. In the highest wage quartile, improved outside options translate to higher wages but not higher separation rates, consistent with bargaining. In the aggregate, bargaining appears to be a limited determinant of wage setting.

Minimum Wages, Wages, and Price Pass-Through: The Case of McDonald’s Restaurants

Journal of Labor Economics 2022 40(S1), S179-S201
Based on 2016–20 hourly wage rates of McDonald’s basic crew and Big Mac prices collected simultaneously from almost all US McDonald’s, we find that in 25% of instances of minimum wage increases, restaurants keep constant their wage premium above the increasing minimum wage. Higher minimum wages are not associated with faster adoption of touch-screen ordering, and there is near-full price pass-through of minimum wages. Minimum wage hikes lead to increases in real wages (expressed as how many Big Macs 1 hour of basic crew work can buy) that are one-fifth lower than the corresponding increases in nominal wages.

Name Your Friends, but Only Five? The Importance of Censoring in Peer Effects Estimates Using Social Network Data

Journal of Labor Economics 2022 40(4), 779-805
Empirical peer effects research often employs censored peer data. Individuals may list only a fixed number of links, implying mismeasured peer variables. I first document that censoring is widespread in network data. I then introduce an estimator and characterize its inconsistency analytically; an assumption on the ordering of peers implies that censoring causes attenuated peer effects estimates. Next, I demonstrate the effect of censoring in two data sets, showing that estimates with censored data underestimate peer influence. I discuss interpretation of estimates, propose methods for correction and bounding, and give implications for the design of network surveys.

Does Money Still Matter? Attainment and Earnings Effects of Post-1990 School Finance Reforms

Journal of Labor Economics 2022 40(S1), S141-S178 open access
In two 1992 papers, Card and Krueger used labor market outcomes to study the productivity of school spending. Following their lead, we examine the effects of post-1990 school finance reforms on students’ educational attainment and labor market outcomes. Using a state-by-cohort panel design, we find that reforms increased high school completion and college-going, concentrated among Black students and women, and raised annual earnings. The reforms also increased the return to education, particularly for Black students and men, driven by the return to high school.