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Consequences of the Rise in Female Labor Force Participation Rates: Questions and Probes

Journal of Labor Economics 1985 3(1, Part 2), S117-S146
This paper discusses three independent inquiries into consequences of the rise in women's labor force participation rate (LFPR) in the United States since 1946. (1) The growth in women's LFPR is decomposed by decade, age, marital status, presence of age-specific children, and years of schooling. (2) Evidence on the impact of the growth on the inequality in income among husband-wife families is summarized and the impact on income inequality in other family structures is discussed. The effect on the level of family real income is considered and "money illusion" in measuring the change in income is noted. (3) Bivariate autoregressive time series are estimated with annual data from 1950 to 1980, indicating that lagged values of women's LFPR are systematically correlated with measures of flow fertility, marriage, schooling, and men's income, while only fertility has a strong, persistent lagged correlation with LFPR.

Executive compensation, management turnover, and firm performance

Journal of Accounting and Economics 1985 7(1-3), 43-66
This paper investigates the internal managerial control mechanisms at the disposal of a corporation's compensation-setting board or committee. The hypotheses tested are that both compensation changes and management changes are methods used to control top management, and that the use of these control methods is motivated by changes in the firm's stock price performance. Public data from the period 1977–1980 support our hypotheses. We conclude that the firm's board creates managerial incentives consistent with those of the firm's owners, both by setting compensation and following management change policies which benefit shareholders.

Trading and valuing depreciable assets

Journal of Financial Economics 1985 14(2), 283-308
Optimal policies for selling a risky depreciable asset with proportional taxes and transaction costs are derived for a representative investor who maximizes the market value of his investment. Also calculated are the market value of his investment and the competitive price of the depreciable asset. Depending upon the values of various parameters, the investor realizes either capital gains and no losses, capital losses and no gains, or neither gains nor losses. Additional properties of the solution are derived numerically.

Distinguishing the two forms of the constant percentage learning curve model

Contemporary Accounting Research 1985 1(2), 242-252 open access
There is often evidence of confusion between two forms of the constant percentage learning curve model: the cumulative average and the individual unit forms. Failure to distinguish between the two models can lead to their misuse and to potentially serious errors of estimation. A precise statement of the difference between the two clarifies the errors of misspecification. This note provides an analytical comparsion of the two models and addresses empirical estimation issues. Résumé. On a souvent la preuve de la confusion entre deux formules de modèle de la courbe d'apprentissage à pourcentage constant: celle de la moyenne cumulative et celle de l'unité individuelle. Le fait de ne pas distinguer les deux modèles peut conduire à une mauvaise utilisation et éventuellement à de sérieuses erreurs d'estimation. Un examen précis de la différence entre les deux peut clarifier les erreurs de spécification. Cet article présente une comparaison analytique des deux modèles et traite des questions d'estimation empirique.

Two Views of the Geographic Distribution of Unemployment

Quarterly Journal of Economics 1985 100(1), 57
This paper investigates the extent to which equilibrium and disequilibrium explanations can account for unemployment rate differentials between cities. It shows that shocks that disturb the steady-state relationship among the unemployment rates of metropolitan areas tend to be eliminated by mobility within a single year. It also shows that high unemployment areas tend to be those with attractive climates and amenities, high wages, and high unemployment insurance. It argues that the main effect of government programs that create jobs in high unemployment areas will be to lure additional job seekers to those areas.

Further Evidence on the Representativeness of Management Earnings Forecasts

The Accounting Review 1985 60(4), 692-701
[The primary purpose of the study is to provide evidence on the characteristics of firms which did and did not disclose management's annual earnings forecasts in the Wall Street Journal. The study finds that earnings variability is greater for non-disclosing firms while firm size is larger for disclosing firms. Systematic market risk was not significantly different between the two groups of firms. To the extent that earnings variability and firm size influence forecast accuracy and information content, the results reported in this study suggest that the accuracy and information content of voluntarily disclosed forecasts may not be representative of the accuracy and information content of the forecasts of currently non-disclosing firms if forecasts for these firms become required.]

Further Evidence on the Representativeness of Management Earnings Forecasts .

The Accounting Review 1985 60(4), 692-701
The primary purpose of the study is to provide evidence on the characteristics of firms which did and did not disclose management's annual earnings forecasts in the Well Street Journal. The study finds that earnings variability is greater for non-disclosing firms while firm size is larger for disclosing firms. Systematic market risk was not significantly different between the two groups of firms. To the extent that earnings variability and firm size influence forecast accuracy and information content, the results reported in this study suggest that the accuracy and information content of voluntarily disclosed forecasts may not be representative of the accuracy and information content of the forecasts of currently nondisclosing firms if forecasts for these firms become required.