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Review of Drug War Heresies by MacCoun and Reuter

Journal of Economic Literature 2003 41(2), 540-544
MacCoun and Reuter's primary goal is to understand how current U.S. drug policies can be improved. They carefully describe the facts and trends regarding drug usage, criminal justice enforcement, and the harms associated with drug use, then discuss the public debate surrounding drug prohibition and give an informal treatment of the theory underlying the competing positions. The authors study policies towards other vices like gambling, cigarettes, alcohol, and prostitution, as well as drug policies in other times and places. The broader implication that emerges is that there is a desperate need for better data and increased research if there is any hope for making truly informed policy on illicit drugs.

Corporate Tax-Planning Effectiveness: The Role of Compensation-Based Incentives

The Accounting Review 2003 78(3), 847-874
This study investigates whether compensating chief executive officers and business-unit managers using after-tax accounting-based performance measures leads to lower effective tax rates, the empirical surrogate used for tax-planning effectiveness. Utilizing proprietary compensation data obtained in a survey of corporate executives, the relation between effective tax rates and after-tax performance measures is modeled and estimated using a two-step approach that corrects for the endogeneity bias associated with firms' decisions to compensate managers on a pre- versus after-tax basis. The results are consistent with the hypothesis that compensating business-unit managers, but not chief executive officers, on an after-tax basis leads to lower effective tax rates.

End-of-Sample Instability Tests

Econometrica 2003 71(6), 1661-1694 open access
This paper considers tests for structural instability of short duration, such as at the end of the sample. The key feature of the testing problem is that the number, m, of observations in the period of potential change is relatively small—possibly as small as one. The well-known F test of Chow (1960) for this problem only applies in a linear regression model with normally distributed iid errors and strictly exogenous regressors, even when the total number of observations, n+m, is large. We generalize the F test to cover regression models with much more general error processes, regressors that are not strictly exogenous, and estimation by instrumental variables as well as least squares. In addition, we extend the F test to nonlinear models estimated by generalized method of moments and maximum likelihood. Asymptotic critical values that are valid as n→∞ with m fixed are provided using a subsampling-like method. The results apply quite generally to processes that are strictly stationary and ergodic under the null hypothesis of no structural instability.

The Effect of Immigration on Native Self‐Employment

Journal of Labor Economics 2003 21(3), 619-650
We examine the impact of immigration on self‐employed natives. In a new general equilibrium model of self‐employment and wage/salary work, a range of plausible parameter values implies small negative effects of immigration on native self‐employment rates and earnings. Using 1980 and 1990 Census microdata, we then examine the relationship between changes in immigration and native self‐employment rates and earnings across 132 of the largest U.S. metropolitan areas. We find evidence suggesting that self‐employed immigrants displace self‐employed natives but do not have a negative effect on native self‐employment earnings. The effects are much larger than those predicted by the theoretical model.

Exchange rate exposures of US banks: A cash flow-based methodology

Journal of Banking & Finance 2003 27(5), 851-865
Using a cash flow-based framework, we decompose exchange rate into short-term and long-term elements for 105 individual US banks over 1988–1998. We show that significant long-term exposure is more prevalent than significant short-term exposure, reflecting the difficulty in recognizing, modeling, and managing the longer-term effects of exchange rate risk. Our analyses reveal that 72% of internationally oriented and 88% of domestically oriented banks in the sample have significant exposure to at least one of five currency pairs. This result supports the theory that domestic banks are exposed and should be concerned about the indirect impact of exchange rate risk. Furthermore, we provide some evidence that economies of scale may exist for institutions with extensive international operations.

A note on savings and loan ownership structure and expense preference: A re-examination

Journal of Banking & Finance 2003 27(10), 2003-2014
This study extends the work of Akella and Greenbaum [Journal of Banking & Finance 12 (1988) 419] through the use of a much larger, nationwide sample of US saving and loan associations and supports their original finding of significant expense-preference behavior in mutual savings and loans during their original study period (1979–80). This study also provides evidence that over the time period of substantial deregulation and changes in the competitive environment in the US financial services industry, expense-preference behavior for savings and loans decreased. The results are consistent with the idea that the removal of barriers that restrict competition should improve managerial efficiency in firms that survive.