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Prospective Unemployment and Interstate Population Movements: A Comment

The Review of Economics and Statistics 1965 47(4), 449
turities on borrowing costs has little empirical support either. In addition, these results provide little support for the more conventional assertion that a lengthening of either contract lengths or loan-tovalue ratios is indicative of a reduction of borrowing costs to home buyers. Admittedly, the strongly negative coefficient of G in equation (3) suggests that something is wrong with my original equation.10 I find little merit, however, in Lee's contention that I used an improper measure of borrowing costs and that my estimate of the income elasticity of housing demand is substantially upward biased as a result.

A Simulation Analysis of the Effects of Population Change on a Neoclassical Economy

Journal of Political Economy 1973 81(2, Part 1), 356-375
This paper is concerned with the effects of variations in demographic factors on the time paths of major economic variables. A theoretical macromodel of an economic-demographic system is specified, with numerical parameters. This model is used in computer simulations to study the economic effects of exogenous changes in fertility and immigration rates. A cohort approach is emphasized in the specification of both demographic and economic relationships. Simulation results are reported for a variety of real and artificial time patterns of fertility and immigration under different assumptions about the values of the principal parameters of the economic relationships.