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Shadow banking of non-financial firms: Arbitrage between formal and informal credit markets in China

Journal of Financial Intermediation 2023 55, 101032
In China's credit markets with financial repression, state-controlled non-financial firms (SOEs) are privileged in gaining access to bank credit, while non-SOEs, especially those small- and medium-sized firms, are disadvantaged. Corporate re-lending emerges as a response wherein the former secure bank loans and then re-lend to the latter. We document the characteristics of inter-corporate loans from a sample of legal cases. We employ four empirical strategies to conduct a forensic study of re-lending by detecting abnormal relations between financial accounts of listed firms. State-controlled companies conduct more re-lending, and firms with better growth opportunities, stronger corporate governance, and more financial constraints engage less. We compare re-lending with entrusted loans and find that firms extending nonaffiliated entrusted loans conduct re-lending actively, while firms offering affiliated entrusted loans do not. We also compare inter-corporate loans with micro-credit company loans in a review of legal cases.

Customer concentration and M&A performance

Journal of Corporate Finance 2021 69, 102021 open access
This paper examines how the target's customer concentration affects merger performance. We find that the acquirer purchasing a customer-concentrated firm experiences significantly lower stock market returns and worse long-run operating performance. The effect is more pronounced when customers face lower switching costs or the target undertakes a higher level of relationship-specific investments, exhibits higher cash volatility, or is acquired by a less well-known company. Further analysis shows that the negative association is mainly driven by corporate customers, while relatively safe government customers moderate the effect. We also find that shared major customers, overconfident CEOs, and poor corporate governance are more likely to increase the likelihood of customer-concentrated acquisitions. Overall, our findings suggest that higher customer concentration leads to lower value creation in mergers.

A Preanalysis Plan to Replicate Sixty Economics Research Papers That Worked Half of the Time

American Economic Review 2017
We attempted to replicate 67 macroeconomic papers using author-provided data and code files by following a preanalysis plan. Excluding 6 papers that used confidential data, we obtained data and code replication files for 29 of 35 papers (83 percent) that were required to provide such files as a condition of publication, compared to 11 of 26 papers (42 percent) that were not required to provide such files. Also excluding the 2 papers that used software we did not possess, we replicated 29 of 59 papers (49 percent) with assistance from the authors. We conclude with recommendations on improving replication of economics research.

CEO country-specific experience and cross-border mergers and acquisitions

Journal of Corporate Finance 2021 69, 102039
We provide evidence that U.S. firms have a significantly higher probability of acquiring targets in countries where their CEOs have studied or worked. This finding is robust to alternative measures of CEO country-specific experience, samples or model specifications, and to controlling for endogeneity and target country industry specialization. Moreover, deal-level evidence suggests a reassurance effect. CEO experience has no effect on announcement returns or long-run operating performance on average but is associated with significantly better performance in risky environments. We also provide additional evidence to disentangle alternative hypotheses and explore the role of corporate governance in determining deal outcomes.

The sources of bank productivity growth in China during 2002–2009: A disaggregation view

Journal of Banking & Finance 2012 36(7), 1997-2006
This study investigates the sources of bank productivity growth in China over the period 2002–2009. In order to perform this research, we propose an advanced index – input slack-based productivity index (ISP) – a model that disaggregates total factor productivity growth into each input productivity change. Funds, capital, and employees are chosen as the inputs, whereas loans and other earning assets are outputs in this study. Our results show that technological gains transcend the efficiency regressions and result in total factor productivity growth. More specifically, technical progress in capital productivity reveals the dominant force behind the total factor technical change and productivity improvement. In addition, this paper uses these disaggregation terms to find out the competitive advantages and disadvantages of input usages for each Chinese bank. These findings indicate that the ISP index provides more insights than traditional total factor productivity indices.

Local Political Corruption and Financial Reporting Conservatism

The Accounting Review 2025 100(2), 45-70
ABSTRACT We document that firms in more politically corrupt regions of China adopt more conservative accounting. The relation between local political corruption and accounting conservatism weakens after China’s anticorruption campaign launched in 2012 and in firms with a lower risk of expropriation by corrupt officials, stronger incentives to report earnings aggressively, or greater gains from corruption. Further analysis shows that accounting conservatism and alternative corporate strategies complement each other in shielding firms against corrupt officials’ expropriation of corporate resources. Our study provides novel evidence about an accounting approach used by firms in response to perceived political costs. JEL Classifications: D22; D72; D73; M41.