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The Origin of the Eight-Year Generating Cycle

Quarterly Journal of Economics 1921 36(1), 1
The persistence of the eight-year generating cycle in England for one hundred and sixty years; the congruence of the eight-year crop cycles in England, France, and the United States; the persistence of the eight-year meteorological cycles, and their congruence in Europe and America; the congruence of the economic and meteorological cycles — these uniformities and agreements suggest that their cause must be sought in a cosmical cycle. The probable cause is the planet Venus in its eight-yearly periodic motion with respect to the Earth and the Sun. I. Economic cycles, 2. — II. Meteorological cycles, 8. — III. The cause of the eight-year generating cycle, 18.

The Statistical Complement of Pure Economics

Quarterly Journal of Economics 1908 23(1), 1
Representative constructive workers in pure economics have conceived of an inductive statistical complement without whose development the a priori instrument must lack concrete effectiveness, 1.— The most important statistical processes that must be employed in the elaboration of the inductive science are described, 8.—Steps which have already been taken in the attempt to bring together pure economics and the theory of statistics in the treatment of concrete material are illustrated, 23.—From a survey of what has been accomplished it is inferred that fecund scientific ideas as well as abiding practical results are to be gained from the development of the Statistical Complement of Pure Economics, 33.

Paradoxes of Competition

Quarterly Journal of Economics 1906 20(2), 211
Journal Article Paradoxes of Competition Get access Henry L. Moore Henry L. Moore Columbia University Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Volume 20, Issue 2, February 1906, Pages 211–230, https://doi.org/10.2307/1883653 Published: 01 February 1906

The Personality of Antoine Augustin Cournot

Quarterly Journal of Economics 1905 19(3), 370
Journal Article The Personality of Antoine Augustin Cournot Get access Henry L. Moore Henry L. Moore Columbia University Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Volume 19, Issue 3, May 1905, Pages 370–399, https://doi.org/10.2307/1882658 Published: 01 May 1905

Announcements

Review of Economic Studies 1989 56(4), 475-475
Journal Article Announcements Get access Charles Bean, Charles Bean Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar John Moore John Moore Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Review of Economic Studies, Volume 56, Issue 4, October 1989, Page 475, https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/56.4.475 Published: 01 October 1989

Oil Price Exposure and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns

The Review of Asset Pricing Studies 2024 14(2), 274-309
We provide evidence that equity investors are slow to process information about how current oil price changes affect future earnings announcements. Stock prices respond to lagged quarterly oil price changes when firms start announcing earnings in the next quarter. A cross-sectional equity trading strategy that exploits this predictability yields an annualized Sharpe ratio of 0.50. Our oil-response forecast strategy earns especially high returns after large absolute oil price changes, in recessions or bear markets, and during peak earnings season. The predictability we document is consistent with limited attention, is not driven by risk factor exposure, and survives several robustness tests. (JEL G10, G11, G14, G40, Q41)