Knowledge that Transforms

To make high-quality research more accessible and easier to explore.

Fields:
275 results ✕ Clear filters

All for the Best: The Federal Reserve Board's 60th Annual Report

American Economic Review 2014
Reserve (FR) documents. We virtually pounce on them. We criticize everything from the frailest economic argument to the color scheme and quality of the binding. Except for newsy details necessary to keep our preachments up to date, the issues we raise seldom change. Decade after decade, we upbraid the Fed about the responsibilities for economic statesmanship that accompany its statutory independence; its unwillingness to specify an explicit model of how it believes that its policies impact on economic variables; its special concern for cushioning its effects on the money markets; the inevitable ineptness of its interventions into specific markets; and its extraordinary penchant for humbug. Fed officials must long have wondered

Biased Screening and Discrimination in the Labor Market

American Economic Review 2014
The traditional economic analysis of is based on Gary Becker's study of taste by employers, employees, and consumers. More recent work by Kenneth Arrow (1972, 1973) has attempted to interpret intergroup wage differences in an alternative framework as a rational reaction to uncertainty in labor markets. His model of statistical discrimination demonstrates that when the screening process used to determine a worker's qualifications is costly, and prior expectations of productivity differ across race or sex groups, then wage differentials may arise between workers of identical productivity. By implicitly assuming a perfect screening process, Arrow ignores a potentially important source of wage differentials, namely the fact that the screening process might be a more reliable predictor of productivity for one group than for another.' Our paper generalizes the Arrow model in two ways. First, in contrast to Arrow, we assume that all groups have identical distributions of productivity. Secondly, the screening process used by the firm to determine an applicant's productivity is biased in the sense that: a) members of various groups may pass the test in different proportions despite their identical productivity distributions; and b) the predictive power of the test might vary across groups. Our objective is to analyze the effects of these types of biases in the screening process on the wage differentials between different population groups.

How University Endowments Respond to Financial Market Shocks: Evidence and Implications

American Economic Review 2014 104(3), 931-962 open access
Endowment payouts have become an increasingly important component of universities' revenues in recent decades. We study how universities respond to financial shocks to endowments and thus shed light on a number of existing models of endowment behavior. Endowments actively reduce payouts relative to their stated payout policies following negative, but not positive, shocks. This asymmetric behavior is consistent with “endowment hoarding,” especially among endowments whose current value is close to the benchmark value at the start of the university president's tenure. We also document the effect of negative endowment shocks on university operations, such as personnel cuts.

Agricultural Productivity Differences across Countries

American Economic Review 2014 104(5), 165-170
Recent studies argue that cross-country labor productivity differences are much larger in agriculture than in the aggregate. We reexamine the agricultural productivity data underlying this conclusion using new evidence from disaggregate sources. We find that for the world's staple grains-maize, rice, and wheat-cross-country differences in the quantity of grain produced per worker are enormous according to both micro- and macrosources. Our findings validate the idea that understanding agricultural productivity is at the heart of understanding world income inequality.

Measuring the Impacts of Teachers II: Teacher Value-Added and Student Outcomes in Adulthood

American Economic Review 2014 104(9), 2633-2679 open access
Are teachers' impacts on students' test scores (value-added) a good measure of their quality? This question has sparked debate partly because of a lack of evidence on whether high value-added (VA) teachers improve students' long-term outcomes. Using school district and tax records for more than one million children, we find that students assigned to high-VA teachers are more likely to attend college, earn higher salaries, and are less likely to have children as teenagers. Replacing a teacher whose VA is in the bottom 5 percent with an average teacher would increase the present value of students' lifetime income by approximately $250,000 per classroom.

Housing Assignment with Restrictions: Theory and Evidence from Stanford University's Campus

American Economic Review 2014 104(5), 67-72
This paper studies housing markets where a subset of houses in a restricted area is available exclusively to a subset of “eligible” buyers. An empirical part shows that houses on Stanford campus (available only to faculty) trade at substantial discounts to comparable houses off campus. The theoretical part describes an assignment model with heterogeneous houses and buyers which predicts such discounts if the matchup of quality and buyer pools is sufficiently different inside versus outside the restricted area. The restriction can distort allocations by making eligible buyers choose either higher or lower qualities than ineligible buyers with the same characteristics.