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Harriet Taylor Mill

American Economic Review 2000 90(2), 476-479
While Harriet Taylor Mill's work on feminist economics has only recently begun to receive the attention it deserves, one can hardly say that she was earlier ignored: for more than a century, debate has raged over the extent and nature of her influence on John Stuart Mill. The debate was provoked by Mill himself, who used quite extravagant language in describing his wife and her contributions to his work.1 The following example is from his Autobiography (J. S. Mill, 1873 [1965 p. 251]), completed after Harriet's death and published only after his own:

Using Survey Data to Test Standard Propositions Regarding Exchange Rate Expectations

American Economic Review 1987 77(1), 133-153
[Survey data provide a measure of exchange rate expectations superior to the forward rate in that no risk premium interferes. We estimate extrapolative, adaptive, and regressive models of expectations. Static or "random walk" expectations and bandwagon expectations are rejected: current appreciation generates the expectation of future depreciation because variables other than the contemporaneous spot rate receive weight. In comparing expectations to the process governing the spot rate, we find statistically significant bias.]

Margin Requirements, Volatility, and the Transitory Component of Stock Prices

American Economic Review 2016
Official margin requirements in the U.S. stock market were established in October 1934 to limit the amount of credit available for the purpose of buying stocks. Since then, higher or rising margin requirements are associated with lower stock price volatility, lower excess volatility, and smaller deviations of stock prices from their fundamental values. The results hold throughout the post-1934 period and are not very sensitive to the exclusion of the turbulent depression years from the sample. Thus margin requirements seem to be an effective policy tool in curbing destabilizing speculation. (JEL 313, 520). Federal regulation of securities margins was mandated by Congress in the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. The stock market experience of the late 1920s led Congress to the conclusion that credit-financed speculation in the stock market might create excessive market volatility through a pyramidingdepyramiding process.' Congress reasoned that the imposition of margin requirements could constrain the amount of borrowing and prevent excessive market volatility, and subsequently gave the Federal Reserve jurisdiction over the level of margin requirements. Since 1934, the Federal Reserve