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An Estimated Structural Model of Entrepreneurial Behavior

American Economic Review 2020 110(9), 2859-2898 open access
Using a rich panel of owner-operated New York dairy farms, we provide new evidence on entrepreneurial behavior. We formulate a dynamic model of farms facing uninsured risks and financial constraints. Farmers derive nonpecuniary benefits from operating their businesses. We estimate the model via simulated minimum distance, matching both production and financial data. We find that financial factors and nonpecuniary benefits are of first-order importance. Collateral constraints and liquidity restrictions inhibit borrowing and the accumulation of capital, especially among high-productivity firms seeking to expand. The nonpecuniary benefits to farming are large and keep small, low-productivity farms in business. Although farmers are risk averse, eliminating uninsured production risk has only modest effects on capital and output.

Medicaid Insurance in Old Age

American Economic Review 2016 106(11), 3480-3520
The old age provisions of the Medicaid program were designed to insure retirees against medical expenses. We estimate a structural model of savings and medical spending and use it to compute the distribution of lifetime Medicaid transfers and Medicaid valuations across currently single retirees. Compensating variation calculations indicate that current retirees value Medicaid insurance at more than its actuarial cost, but that most would value an expansion of the current Medicaid program at less than its cost. These findings suggest that for current single retirees, the Medicaid program may be of the approximately right size.

Life Expectancy and Old Age Savings

American Economic Review 2009 99(2), 110-115
Rich people, women, and healthy people live much longer than their poor, male, and sick counterparts. Two extremes, taken from our analysis of single people in the Assets and Health Dynamics of the Oldest Old (AHEAD) dataset, illustrate this point: an unhealthy 70-year-old male at the twentieth percentile of the permanent income distribution expects to live only 6 more years, that is, to age 76. In contrast, a healthy 70-year-old woman at the eightieth percentile of the permanent income distribution expects to live 16 more years, thus making it to age 86.] Such significant differences in life expectancy could, all else equal, lead to significant differ ences in saving behavior. A related observation is that people with high permanent incomes keep large amounts of assets until very late in life. Table 1, also based on the