This paper examines how the US financial crisis of 1893 affected state output growth between 1900 and 1930. The results indicate that a 1% increase in bank instability reduced output growth by 2–5%. A comparison of Nebraska, which had one of the highest bank failure rates, with West Virginia, which did not experience a single bank failure, reveals that disintermediation affected growth through a portfolio change among savers: people simply stopped trusting banks. Time series evidence from newspapers indicates that articles containing the words “money hidden” significantly increase after banking crises, then slowly die out.

The term structure of interest rates has occupied economists for many years. This is testimony to the importance of the term structure (or, equivalently, valuation operator) and to the difficulty of obtaining reliable estimates of it. Until recently, it was not possible to reconcile the theoretical existence of a multiplicity of valuation operators in an incomplete bond market and the empirical nonexistence of even a single one. MacKay and Prisman [Estimating valuation operators in incomplete market with noises: Can noise complete the market. Working paper, 1996] tackle this problem. In this paper, an amendment to and a generalization of their methodology is presented. The amendment preserves the linearity of valuation operators and allows use of efficient linear programming techniques. Further, it facilitates an admissible consideration of the puzzle of negative option prices embedded in bonds. The empirical results presented in this paper were obtained using data on extendable Government of Canada bonds. The results indicate that although the gap between the lowest and the highest prices assigned to a cash flow by different valuation operators is significant, it is not sufficient to resolve the above-mentioned puzzle.

This paper describes three new sources of data on small business finances: Bank Call Report data on small business lending, the 1995 Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF), and the 1993 National Survey of Small Business Finances (NSSBF). Each of these data sources offers publicly available micro-level data useful for examining a wide variety of issues and questions about small business finances. A number of studies which have utilized these data are cited and information on how to access these data is provided.

This paper expands the empirical research on the auctions of failed financial institutions by examining the thrift industry Accelerated Resolution Program as an alternative to the standard auction procedures. Jointly managed by the Office of Thrift Supervision and the Resolution Trust Corporation, the objective of this program was to intervene before insolvency and, thereby, to reduce the regulatory expenditures. Previous research has often found the existence of a wealth transfer to the winning bidders in both commercial bank and thrift auctions. In contrast to this previous research, no evidence is found in this study to conclude that a wealth transfer occurred in standard Resolution Trust Corporation auctions. Furthermore, while the Accelerated Resolution Program yielded positive abnormal returns, there is also no evidence of a wealth transfer.