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Equity markets and growth: Cross-country evidence on timing and outcomes, 1980–1995

Journal of Banking & Finance 2000 24(12), 1933-1957
The rapid expansion of organized equity exchanges in both emerging and developed markets has prompted policymakers to raise important questions about their macroeconomic impact, yet the need to focus on recent data poses implementation difficulties for econometric studies of dynamic interactions between stock markets and economic performance in individual countries. This paper overcomes some of these difficulties by applying recent developments in the analysis of panels with a small time dimension to estimate vector autoregressions for a set of 47 countries with annual data for 1980–1995. After describing recent theories on the role of stock markets in growth and considering a pure cross-sectional empirical approach, our panel VARs show leading roles for stock market liquidity and the intensity of activity in traditional financial intermediaries on per capita output. The findings underscore the potential gains associated with developing deep and liquid financial markets in an increasingly global economy.

Winners and losers from the introduction of continuous variable price trading: Evidence from the Riga Stock Exchange

Journal of Banking & Finance 2000 24(4), 603-624
This paper examines the impact from changing the trading mechanism at the Riga Stock Exchange (RSE). All three trading lists that once traded in a daily call auction followed by fixed price trading were transferred to a mechanism where the call auction is followed by continuous variable price trading sessions. We find that for stocks with high liquidity before the transfer, trading volumes more than doubled, while for stocks with low liquidity before the transfer, trading volumes fell to less than a quarter of their pre-transfer levels. The functions of a stock market in providing price discovery and a secondary market for shares were eroded for more than half of the securities listed.

Determinants of bank growth choice

Journal of Banking & Finance 2000 24(5), 709-734
We study the determinants of bank growth in a two-stage logistic regression model. We first compare banks that branch, Bank Acquire, or Product Expand with banks that do not grow externally. Banks that are federally chartered, in states with higher income growth, and with higher labor prices are less likely to grow externally. Larger banks are more likely to grow externally. In the second stage, we study determinants of growth activity for banks that expand products, branch, or acquire other banks. Depending on the time period, bank structure, regulatory environment, performance, and balance sheet characteristics determine bank growth choices.