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Publish or Perish: What the Competition is Really Doing

Journal of Finance 1992 47(1), 295
This study provides comprehensive publications performance data over a twenty-five-year period for finance doctorates. These data indicate that publishing one article per year in any finance journal (or finance, accounting, economics, or business journal) over any prolonged period of time is a truly remarkable feat, met by only 5 percent of the graduates. Tenure screens combining various quantity and quality requirements are examined to assess their ability to predict future publication productivity. Faculty and administrators seeking defensible benchmarks for evaluating faculty research productivity in finance will find that these data and results are particularly useful.

Seasonalities in NYSE Bid‐Ask Spreads and Stock Returns in January

Journal of Finance 1992 47(5), 1999-2014
Using end‐of‐month bid‐ask spreads for 540 NYSE stocks over the period 1982–1987, we document a seasonal pattern in which both relative and absolute spreads decline from the end of December to the end of the following January. Cross‐sectional regressions do not, however, provide evidence of a significant correlation between changes in spreads at the turn of the year and January stock returns. Either there is no cause and effect relation between the coincidental seasonals in bid‐ask spreads and January returns for NYSE stocks or the data are too “noisy” to reveal any relation.

Swaps: Plain and Fanciful

Journal of Finance 1992 47(3), 831
The outstanding face amount of plain vanilla interest rate swaps exceeds two trillion dollars. While pricing and hedging of such swaps appear to be quite simple, many existing theories are based on the incorrect characterization of a swap as a simple exchange of a fixed for a floating rate note. This characterization is not consistent with standarized swap contracts and the treatment of swaps in bankruptcy. This paper provides an alternative perspective on swaps.

A Comparison of Forward and Futures Prices of an Interest Rate‐Sensitive Financial Asset

Journal of Finance 1992 47(1), 381-396
This paper focuses on contractual distinctions as an explanation for the price divergence between futures and forward contracts. Specifically, it investigates the effect of marking‐to‐market on the observed price differences using the pricing model described in Cox, Ingersoll, and Ross (CIR) (1981, Journal of Financial Economics 9 , 321–346). Using previously unavailable data, this paper employs Eurodollars, an interest rate‐sensitive financial asset, to test the CIR model. Unlike prior empirical studies, test results support both the weak prediction concerning the sign of the average price difference and the stronger prediction that specific covariances explain the variation in the price differences.

The 1985 Ohio Thrift Crisis, the FSLIC's Solvency, and Rate Contagion for Retail CDs

Journal of Finance 1992 47(3), 919-941
This paper uses both an ARIMA transfer‐function intervention model and a panel data analysis to examine the effect of the Ohio deposit insurance crisis in 1985 on the pricing of six‐month retail certificates of deposit (CDs) for federally‐insured Ohio banks and savings and loans. Adjusting for pricing reactions due to changes in market rates, we find a significant, unanticipated rise in CD‐rate premiums on the initial event week of the crisis that continued for approximately seven weeks. Consistent with a contingent insurance guarantee hypothesis, rate premiums are found to be risk based.

Additional Evidence on Integration in the Canadian Stock Market

Journal of Finance 1992 47(5), 2035
This paper reexamines the integration of the Canadian and U.S. stock markets in the 1977–86 period that is relatively free from capital controls. The study employs both the CAPM and the APT frameworks. Under both models, the evidence is consistent with segmentation in the 1977–81 subperiod, but supports integration in the 1982–86 subperiod. Using the APT framework, we also find that the Canadian stocks interlisted on the U.S. exchanges and NASDAQ are priced in an integrated market and segmentation is predominant for the non-interlisted Canadian stocks.

Dutch Auction Repurchases: An Analysis of Shareholder Heterogeneity

Journal of Finance 1992 47(1), 71
This paper documents that firms face upward-sloping supply curves when they repurchase shares in a Dutch auction, and it analyzes the market reaction to these offers. The announcement price increase is highly correlated with the ultimate repurchase premium. Prices decline at expiration only for pro-rated offers. The cumulative return is positive and highly correlated with the repurchase premium, excepting pro-rated offers. Much of this price increase is consistent with movement along an upward-sloping supply curve. Trading volume around the Dutch auction parallels fixed-price repurchases. Supply elasticity is larger for firms with large trading volume, firms included in the S&P 500 Index, and takeover targets.

Relationship-Specific Assets and the Pricing of Underwriter Services

Journal of Finance 1992 47(5), 1865
This paper investigates the effect of setup costs on the pricing of investment banking services. The existence of setup costs is predicted to result in lower underwriter spreads in IPOs for firms that are expected to issue again. Consistent with this prediction, I find significantly lower spreads for firms that make subsequent issues. I also find that a firm's likelihood of changing underwriters in a subsequent offer is related to the time between offerings and the underwriter's pricing performance in the IPO. These results suggest that the deviations from optimal IPO pricing carry a penalty for the underwriter.

Currency Risk and Business Management.

Journal of Finance 1992 47(1), 413
Part 1 The markets: spot, forward interbank swap and futures deals interrelations of markets time spans and volatilities in the currency markets forecasting exchange rates. Part 2 Management principles and classification of risks: a general approach to business risks the place of currency risk management in general and financial management defining and classifying currency risks corporate objectives and policies in currency risk management. Part 3 The risks and their management: competitiveness risk trading risk - the problem managing trading risk - the mechanisms position risk in the group of companies managing position riak - the mechanisms policy decisions in position risk management.