Knowledge that Transforms

This paper offers a model of intermediation in the Diamond-Dybvig tradition in which both fiat currency and bank deposits are present. The behavior of the economy's price level, deposit-currency ratio, and money supply is compared across equilibria in which bank runs do and do not occur. It is shown that the behavior of these variables in the presence and absence of runs is consistent with that observed in the United States during the period from 1929 to 1933.

When the managers of a firm are not its owners, agency problems result if managers take actions that maximize their own utility rather than the value of the firm. This paper investigates the existence of agency problems in mutual savings and loans. Using a more general approach than in previous studies, I show that mutual S&Ls were operating with an inefficient output mix while stock S&Ls were not, suggesting an agency problem among mutual S&Ls. The results cast doubt on a common argument that mutuals convert to stock S&Ls to capture economies of scale.

This paper investigates how the market reaction to debt and equity offers is influenced by investors' expectations as to the type of security to be issued. We find a significantly positive 1% announcement day return for debt issues made by firms that would normally be expected to issue equity. In contrast, the market reacts negatively when firms that are expected to issue debt issue equity instead. These results suggest that the informational content of public security offerings is conditioned by investors' prior beliefs. Further, our results also support the prediction of asymmetric information theory that debt issues convey good news relative to equity issues.

This paper analyzes the role of financial intermediaries as marketmakers in the market for interest rate swaps. We argue that intermediaries which hold large nontraded portfolios of swaps are efficient alternatives to direct hedging by counterparties in publicly traded cash and futures instruments. The efficiency afforded by the swap marketmaker derives from reduction in transactions costs, diversification of basis risk, and reduced agency costs of debt. The analysis provides an explanation for the existence and success of the swaps market as a means for spreading risk and for its dominance by large financial institutions.

The traditional structure-conduct-performance (SCP) hypothesis relates concentration and the mean level of prices but ignores the dispersion of prices around their mean levels. This paper tests two hypotheses which are capable of explaining both the mean and the dispersion of elements in the pricing vector of retail banks—a concentration/collusion-based hypothesis and an asymmetric information-based hypothesis. Evidence is found that the dispersion of bank fees across banks may be due to both market structure and information reasons. The level of bank fees appears to be generally insignificantly related to concentration.

We frequently observe that contracts do not include all of the contingencies that would seem to be necessary for optimal risk sharing between the parties to the contract. One reason may be that the possibility of renegotiation makes the contract more contingent than it appears. A simple contracting problem is used to show how even a simple contract may achieve optimal risk sharing if new information arrives slowly relatively to the speed of renegotiation.

This paper uses firm-level panel data to investigate the proposition that reliquification is an important phase of the business cycle. It occurs late during recessions and is characterized by prolonged reductions in real investment, caused by firms needing to accumulate assets in order to improve their financial health. The paper concludes that a buildup of assets precedes an increase in investment. This effect is more important for firms without access to organized bond markets and during recession years.