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Welfare Payments and Other Economic Determinants of Female Migration

Journal of Labor Economics 1997 15(3), 529-554
"This article investigates the effects of welfare payments, wages, and unemployment on women's probability of interstate migration [in the United States]. It also investigates if the income attraction of locations varies with recency of labor market experience. Welfare gains increase the probability of interstate migration. Welfare effects are largest for single mothers with small children and stronger among women with no recent labor market experience. The welfare effects, albeit small, are larger than the wage effects. The wage effects are weaker among women with no recent work experience. Ethnic-specific analyses suggest differences in migration behavior among Anglos, African-Americans, and Puerto Ricans."

Rehiring, Seniority, and Labor Force Adjustment

Journal of Labor Economics 1987 5(4, Part 2), S18-S35
This paper examines the role of seniority in two interrelated phenomena-rising age-earnings profiles and the use of layoffs rather than wage adjustments during economic decline. The results suggest that rehiring based on a seniority-first criterion is not inconsistent with an approach that maximizes worker productivity within a heterogeneous labor force. Moreover, assessment of worker reliability based on the upward portion of the wage-productivity cum seniority locus is appropriate since it reduces subsequent turnover. Thus, an approach that combines human capital accumulation with Lazear-type deferred payments schemes explains much of long-term worker-firm attachment.

Labor Reallocation over the Business Cycle: New Evidence from Internal Migration

Journal of Labor Economics 2011 29(4), 697-739 open access
This article establishes the cyclical properties of a novel measure of worker reallocation: long-distance migration rates within the United States. Combining evidence from a number of data sets spanning the entire postwar era, we find that internal migration within the United States is procyclical. This result cannot be explained by cyclical variation in relative local economic conditions, suggesting that the net benefit of moving rises during booms. Migration is most procyclical for younger labor-force participants. Therefore, cyclical fluctuations in the net benefit of moving appear to be related to conditions in the labor market and the spatial reallocation of labor.

Correlations between Brothers and Neighboring Boys in Their Adult Earnings: The Importance of Being Urban

Journal of Labor Economics 2003 21(4), 831-855
A comparison of the correlations between brothers and neighboring boys in their adult earnings suggests that the earnings resemblance between brothers stems more from growing up in the same family than from growing up in the same neighborhood. Much of the neighbor correlation is explicable in terms of the large earnings differential between urban and nonurban areas combined with the strength with which urbanicity of childhood neighborhood predicts urbanicity of adult location. This pattern is subject to a variety of interpretations, but it is quite different from the usual view of neighborhood effects.

A Reconsideration of the Effects of Unionism on Relative Wages and Employment in the United States, 1920-1980

Journal of Labor Economics 1984 2(2), 193-232 open access
H. Gregg Lewis' estimates of the relative wage effect of unionism between 1920 and 1958 are routinely cited though they have rarely been subject to scrutiny. This paper extends Lewis' data to 1980 and, in particular, we construct a series on union membership that links up with the data available in the 1970's from the Current Population Surveys. We proceed to reexamine the effects of trade unions both on relative wages and on relative manhours worked.

Does Your Cohort Matter? Measuring Peer Effects in College Achievement

Journal of Labor Economics 2009 27(3), 439-464
We estimate peer effects in college achievement using a data set in which individuals are exogenously assigned to peer groups of about 30 students with whom they are required to spend the majority of their time interacting. This feature enables us to estimate peer effects that are more comparable to changing the entire cohort of peers. Using this broad peer group, we measure academic peer effects of much larger magnitude than found in previous studies. The effects persist at a diminished rate into follow-on years, and we find evidence of nonlinearities in the magnitude of the effects across student academic ability. (c) 2009 by The University of Chicago.

Worker Absence and Productivity: Evidence from Teaching

Journal of Labor Economics 2012 30(4), 749-782 open access
A significant amount of work time is lost each year due to worker absence, but evidence on the productivity losses from absenteeism remains scant due to difficulties with identification. We use uniquely detailed data on the timing, duration, and cause of absences among teachers to address many of the potential biases from the endogeneity of worker absence. Our analysis indicates that worker absences have large negative impacts: the expected loss in daily productivity from employing a temporary substitute is on par with replacing a regular worker of average productivity with one at the 10th–20th percentile of productivity.

The Black-White Difference in Youth Employment: Evidence for Demand-Side Factors

Journal of Labor Economics 1990 8(1, Part 2), S364-S395
The 1980 census reveals a serious lag in the employment performance of young black men relative to young white men. With census data we test for demand-side causes of this lag, using both aggregate data for 94 standard metropolitan statistical areas (SMSAs) and disaggregate (or individual) data from the 1-in-100 Public Use Sample. Variation across SMSAs in the employment and wages of white youth provides indicators of the demand conditions for black youth, and we estimate that feasible increases in these demand factors would lead to about a 25% increase in the employment of black youth.

The Endogeneity of Union Status: An Empirical Test

Journal of Labor Economics 1985 3(3), 385-402 open access
An unsettled issue in the literature relating to the relative wage effect of unions is the appropriate treatment of union status in a wage determination model. In the context of a three-equation model determining union membership and union- and nonunion-sector wage rates, this paper presents an instrumental variables (IV) procedure for estimating the parameters of the wage equations and a test of the exogeneity of union status using the Hausman specification test. An advantage of our IV procedure in comparison to the widely used inverse Mill's ratio procedure is that our procedure is a distribution-free estimator, whereas the inverse Mill's ratio estimator hinges in the assumption that the error term of the choice equation is normally distributed. Using data for a sample of middle-aged white workers, we estimate the parameters of the union and nonunion wage equations with both procedures. On the key question of the endogeneity of union status, the Hausman test decisively rejects the null hypothesis of exogeneity. The inverse Mill's ratio procedure, in contrast, provides coefficient estimates on the selectivity terms that fail to indicate evidence of sample selectivity in either sector.

Marketplace Institutions Related to the Timing of Transactions: Reply to Priest

Journal of Labor Economics 2012 30(2), 479-494
In this reply I describe the unraveling of transaction dates in several markets, including the labor market for new lawyers hired by large law firms. This and other markets illustrate that unraveling can occur in markets with competitive prices, that it can result in substantial inefficiencies, and that marketplace institutions play a role in restoring efficiency. All of these contradict the conclusions of Priest.