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Countably Additive Subjective Probabilities

Review of Economic Studies 1997 64(1), 125
The subjective probabilities implied by Savage's (1954, 1972) Postulates are finitely but not countably additive. The failure of countable additivity leads to two known classes of dominance paradoxes, money pumps and indifference between an act and one that pointwise dominates it. There is a common resolution to these classes of paradoxes and to any others that might arise from failures of countably additivity. It consists of reinterpreting finitely additive probabilities as the "traces" of countably additive probabilities on larger state spaces. The new and larger state spaces preserve the essential decision-theoretic structures of the original spaces.

Some Measurability Results for Extrema of Random Functions Over Random Sets

Review of Economic Studies 1992 59(3), 495
We consider the question, “Under what conditions is the extremum of a random function over a random set itself a random object?” The answer is relevant to problems in both game theory and econometrics, as we illustrate with examples. Our purpose here is to bring the powerful tools of the theory of analytic sets as developed by Dellacherie and Meyer (1978) to the wider attention of the economics profession and to distill Dellacherie and Meyer's work in such a way as to provide some readily accessible theoretical results that will permit relatively easy treatment of economically or econometrically relevant applications.