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The information content of losses

Journal of Accounting and Economics 1995 20(2), 125-153
This study hypothesizes that because shareholders have a liquidation option, losses are not expected to perpetuate. They are thus less informative than profits about the firm's future prospects. The results are consistent with the hypothesis. They also show that the documented increase in the earnings response coefficent as the cumulation period increases appears to be due exclusively to the effect of losses. The liquidation option effect extends to profitable cases where earnings are low enough to make the option attractive. Alternating explanations for the low informativeness of losses such as mean reversal of earnings are not supported by the tests.

Tax attributes as determinants of shareholder gains in corporate acquisitions

Journal of Financial Economics 1989 23(1), 121-153
The paper provides evidence that tax attributes of target firms are significant in explaining the abnormal returns to shareholders of both target and acquiring firms following acquisition announcements. The most prominent tax attribute in tax-free acquisitions is the amount of net operating loss carryforwards and tax credits due to expire. The most important tax attribute in taxable acquisitions is the step-up in the acquired assets' basis. The findings also suggest that tax considerations motivate acquisitions. Specifically, obtaining tax-free status for the proposed acquisition increases its likelihood of completion.

The changing time-series properties of earnings, cash flows and accruals: Has financial reporting become more conservative?

Journal of Accounting and Economics 2000 29(3), 287-320
This paper documents changes in the patterns of earnings, cash flows and accruals over the last four decades. In the absence of a generally accepted definition of conservatism, a number of measures of reporting conservatism are identified and examined. These measures rely on the accumulation of nonoperating accruals, the timeliness of earnings with respect to bad and good news, characteristics of the earnings distribution and the market-to-book ratio. The patterns are consistent with an increase in conservative financial reporting over time. The findings have implications for accounting standard setting, regulation of financial information and financial statement analysis.

The Valuation of the Deferred Tax Liability: Evidence from the Stock Market.

The Accounting Review 1992 67(2), 394-410
Presents cross-sectional analyses relating unexpected stock returns around news disclosures about the Tax Reform Act of 1986 (TRA) in the United States in the valuation of deferred tax liability. Previous research on the informativeness of tax deferrals; Study hypotheses and testing procedures; Events leading to the enactment of the TRA; Descriptive statistics.

Measuring Reporting Conservatism

The Accounting Review 2007 82(1), 65-106
The paper examines the power and reliability of the differential timeliness (DT) measure developed by Basu (1997) to gauge reporting conservatism. We identify certain characteristics of the information environment unrelated to conservatism that affect the DT measure and find that it is sensitive to the degree of uniformity in the content of the news during the examined period, the types of events occurring in the period, and firms' disclosure policies. Our tests, based on both actual and simulated data, indicate that assessing the extent of reporting conservatism using this measure requires the recognition of, and control for, these characteristics. We also find that the difference in the timeliness of reporting bad versus good news is likely to be more pronounced than previously reported. Further, we provide additional evidence on the negative association between the DT measure and alternative aspects of conservatism, suggesting that the exclusive reliance on any single measure to assess the overall conservatism of a reporting regime (firms, countries, or time periods) is likely to lead to incorrect inferences.

The rewards to meeting or beating earnings expectations

Journal of Accounting and Economics 2002 33(2), 173-204
This paper finds that firms that meet or beat current analysts’ earnings expectations (MBE) enjoy a higher return over the quarter than firms with similar quarterly earnings forecast errors that fail to meet these expectations. Further, such a premium to MBE, although somewhat smaller, exists in the cases where MBE is likely to have been achieved through earnings or expectations management. The findings also indicate that the premium to MBE is a leading indicator of future performance. This premium and its predictive ability are only marginally affected by whether the MBE is genuine or the result of earnings or expectations management.

Taxes and Capital Structure: Evidence from Firms’ Response to the Tax Reform Act of 1986

Review of Financial Studies 1992 5(2), 331-355
While the theoretical relation between taxes and capital structure has been extensively analyzed, the empirical evidence on this issue has thus far been inconclusive. One of the main difficulties confronting previous empirical studies of the cross-sectional relationship between taxes and leverage was the control of intervening variables. The Tax Reform Act of 1986 (TRA), which drastically changed the tax regime, provides a unique opportunity to assess the interaction between taxes and leverage decisions in a controlled environment. We test the relationship between leverage and certain tax-related variables for a large sample of companies in the years surrounding the enactment of the TRA. The results support the tax-based theories of capital structure. The findings indicate that there exists a substitution effect between debt and nondebt tax shields, and that both corporate and personal tax rates affect leverage decisions.

The Quality of Analysts' Cash Flow Forecasts

The Accounting Review 2009 84(6), 1877-1911
This study examines properties of analysts' cash flow forecasts and compares them to those exhibited by analysts' earnings forecasts. Our results indicate that analysts' cash flow forecasts are less accurate than analysts' earnings forecasts and improve at a slower rate during the forecast period. Further, cash flow forecasts appear to be a nai¨ve extension of analysts' earnings forecasts, thus providing limited information on expected changes in working capital. We also find that analysts' forecasts of cash flows are of limited information content and are only weakly associated with stock returns. Finally, estimating expected accruals as the difference between analysts' earnings forecasts and their cash flow forecasts does not result in a better detection of earnings management than achieved by commonly used accrual models.