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Skewness Preference and Seasoned Equity Offers

The Review of Corporate Finance Studies 2016 5(2), 200-238
We find that the degree of expected idiosyncratic skewness in seasoned equity issuers’ stock returns is an important determinant of flotation costs and subsequent abnormal stock performance. High skewness issuers incur significantly greater offer price discounts, particularly when institutional share allocation is largest, pay higher gross underwriting spreads, and exhibit poorer stock performance in the three years after issuance, all compared to low skewness issuers. These results suggest that skewness-induced overpricing increases the flotation costs of seasoned equity offers and leads to poor subsequent stock performance. Received November 18, 2014; accepted December 17, 2015 by Editor Paolo Fulghieri.

Law as a constraint on bailouts: Emergency support for central counterparties

Journal of Financial Intermediation 2016 28, 22-31
Increased awareness of the importance of non-bank financial infrastructures has brought increased concern about the potential for bailouts and the resultant moral hazard problem. This paper examines the question with regard to derivatives central counterparties. We consider the layers of protection that derivatives central clearing parties (CCPs) have established in the absence of an expectation of regulatory rescue. We then provide a model of the tension between the desire for ex post rescue of a systemically important financial infrastructure and the desire to maintain ex ante discipline on the infrastructure. The model illustrates the factors that should lead to relaxation or tightening of the financial regulator's discretion for rescue. We consider examples of failures of derivatives CCPs in order to highlight the importance of these considerations.

Schumpeter and Plausible Capitalism

Journal of Economic Literature 2016
IN THE FALL OF 1942, as the Allied and Axis nations marshalled their forces for decisive battles at Guadalcanal, El Alamein, and Stalingrad, Joseph A. Schumpeter's Capitalism, Socialism, and Democracy (CSD) was published. Perceived by Schumpeter at the time as a little book of essays somewhat in the nature of a potboiler,' it distilled for the intelligent lay reader almost forty years' thought, observation, and research (1942, p. ix) by the Austrian economist-statesman-banker turned Harvard don. Fifty years later, it remains relevant. In particular, it brought into the main stream of economic discourse the question of what market structures were most favorable to technological change and hence economic growth. Both in the United States and abroad, policy debates over that issue persist. Schumpeter's conjectures on market structure, the work by economists to extend them, and the continuing policy puzzles are the main focus of this anniversay essay. II. The Challenge

Contractual revisions in compensation: Evidence from merger bonuses to target CEOs

Journal of Accounting and Economics 2016 61(2-3), 338-368
Do merger bonuses to target CEOs facilitate a wealth transfer from target to acquirer shareholders? We test this hypothesis against an alternative that bonuses enable a useful contractual revision in compensation contracts when takeovers generate small synergies. When target CEOs get a merger bonus, acquirers pay lower premiums, but they also typically get less in the form of low synergies. Moreover, both stock and accounting returns to the acquirers are lower on average in deals with target CEO bonuses. These results support the contractual revision alternative. Nevertheless, wealth transfer occurs when merger bonuses are present in deals where targets exhibit high pre-takeover abnormal accruals or are subject to SEC enforcement actions.

Theory of the Firm: Past, Present, and Future; An Interpretation

Journal of Economic Literature 2016
Hence, even if the partial equilibrium analyst knows full well that the actual situation is not really a competitive one, he probably will still make a first try using the competitive model with good old-fashioned profit maximization. And if the results appear too odd, appropriate qualifications may still be able to take care of them more simply than if he had started with a cumbersome managerial model. (In saying this, I am showing my bias.) [18, p. 30]

Banks and sovereign risk: A granular view

Journal of Financial Stability 2016 25, 1-15
We investigate the determinants of sovereign bond holdings of German banks and the implications of such holdings for bank risk. We use granular information on all German banks and all sovereign debt exposures in the years 2005–2013. As regards the determinants of sovereign bond holdings of banks, we find that these are larger for weakly capitalized banks, banks that are active on capital markets, and for large banks. Yet, only around two thirds of all German banks hold sovereign bonds. Macroeconomic fundamentals were significant drivers of sovereign bond holdings only after the collapse of Lehman Brothers. With the outbreak of the sovereign debt crisis, German banks reallocated their portfolios toward sovereigns with lower debt ratios and bonds with lower yields. With regard to the implications for bank risk, we find that low-risk government bonds decreased the risk of German banks, especially for savings and cooperative banks. Holdings of high-risk government bonds, in turn, increased the risk of commercial banks during the sovereign debt crisis.

Exploration for Human Capital: Evidence from the MBA Labor Market

Journal of Labor Economics 2016 34(S2), S255-S286
We empirically investigate the effect of uncertainty on corporate hiring. Using novel data from the labor market for MBA graduates, we show that uncertainty regarding how well job candidates fit with a firm’s industry hinders hiring and that firms value probationary work arrangements that provide the option to learn more about potential full-time employees. The detrimental effect of uncertainty on hiring is more pronounced when firms face greater firing and replacement costs and when they face less direct competition from other similar firms. These results suggest that firms faced with uncertainty use similar considerations when making hiring decisions as when making decisions regarding investment in physical capital.

Human Capital Investment, Inequality, and Economic Growth

Journal of Labor Economics 2016 34(S2), S99-S127
We treat rising inequality as an equilibrium outcome in which human capital investment fails to keep pace with rising demand for skills. Investment affects skill supply and prices on three margins: the type of human capital in which to invest, how much to acquire, and the intensity of use. The latter two represent the intensive margins of human capital acquisition and utilization. These choices are substitutes for the creation of new skilled workers, yet they are complementary with each other, magnifying inequality. When skill-biased technical change drives economic growth, greater inequality reduces growth.

Tax Avoidance and the Implications of Weak Internal Controls

Contemporary Accounting Research 2016 33(2), 449-486
I examine whether corporate tax avoidance is associated with internal control weaknesses ( ICW s) disclosed under the Sarbanes‐Oxley Act ( SOX ). ICW s disclosed under SOX are frequently related to a firm's tax function. When pervasive ICW s exist, the likelihood increases that these frequent tax‐related ICW s spill over from financial reporting issues to tax avoidance objectives. Thus, my research helps corporate stakeholders understand the implications of internal controls beyond simply financial reporting objectives. Results indicate that, on average, firms with a tax‐related ICW have a 4 percent higher three‐year cash effective tax rate relative to firms without any such weaknesses. Further estimates reveal that this negative relation stems from pervasive, company‐level tax ICW s. Analysis of remediation suggests a causal link. I find that after remediating tax‐related ICW s, firms report higher levels of tax avoidance in the future. Broadly, these findings support that internal control quality represents a proxy for internal governance, and thus the strength of alignment between managers and shareholders. Furthermore, tax‐related internal controls represent an important underlying determinant of tax avoidance with significant cash flow effects, and implications beyond financial reporting.

The level effect of bank lending standards on business lending

Journal of Banking & Finance 2016 66, 79-88
Do tightenings of bank lending standards permanently reduce bank lending? We construct a measure of a bank’s level of lending standards using micro-data from the sample of banks participating in the Eurosystem Bank Lending Survey in The Netherlands and show that this level measure affects business lending. The level effect is statistically robust and economically relevant; a one point tightening reduces a bank’s quarterly growth rate of business lending by about half a percentage point until bank lending standards are eased. This level effect of bank lending standards helps to explain low bank lending growth after a period of prolonged tightening as well as high bank lending growth in a period of prolonged easing. As such, the analysis provides another potential indicator for macroprudential policy.