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Financial Repression in the European Sovereign Debt Crisis

Review of Finance 2018 22(1), 83-115 open access
Abstract At the end of 2013, the share of domestic government debt held by the banking sectors of Eurozone countries was more than twice the amount held in 2007. We show that these increased bond holdings generated a crowding out of corporate lending. We find that the corporate loan supply was depressed by domestic sovereign bonds exclusively during the crisis period (2010–11). The crowding-out pattern holds across firms with different relationship banks within a given country. These findings suggest that sovereign bond holdings negatively impact private capital formation and reflect financial repression. We show that direct government ownership, as well as government influence through banks’ boards of directors, is among the channels used to influence banks.

Disruption and Credit Markets

Journal of Finance 2023 78(1), 105-139 open access
ABSTRACT We show that over the past half‐century, innovative disruptions were central to understanding corporate defaults. In a given year, industries experiencing abnormally high venture capital or initial public offering activity subsequently see higher default rates, higher segment exits by conglomerates, and higher yields on bonds issued by the firms in these industries. Overall, we find that disruption is a broad phenomenon, negatively affecting incumbent firms across the spectrum of age, valuation, and levers, with the exception of very large and low‐leverage firms, in line with our central hypothesis.

Credit risk, debt overhang, and the life cycle of callable bonds

Review of Finance 2024 28(3), 945-985 open access
Abstract We show that callable bonds have both higher yields and lower market prices than matched non-callable bonds of the same issuer-time, reflecting the value of call features to issuers and investors. This “value of callability” as well as the inclusion and the exercise of call rights are jointly determined by issuer credit quality. Critically, our agency-based theoretical and empirical analyses show that callability reduces debt overhang in corporate mergers. Our results help explain the value and increasing prevalence of callable bonds in credit markets.

Payout taxes and the allocation of investment

Journal of Financial Economics 2013 107(1), 1-24 open access
When corporate payout is taxed, internal equity (retained earnings) is cheaper than external equity (share issues). If there are no perfect substitutes for equity finance, payout taxes may therefore have an effect on the investment of firms. High taxes will favor investment by firms who can finance internally. Using an international panel with many changes in payout taxes, we show that this prediction holds well. Payout taxes have a large impact on the dynamics of corporate investment and growth. Investment is “locked in” in profitable firms when payout is heavily taxed. Thus, apart from any level effects, payout taxes change the allocation of capital.

Estimating the Effects of Large Shareholders Using a Geographic Instrument

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2011 46(4), 907-942 open access
Abstract Large shareholders may play an important role for firm performance and policies, but identifying this empirically presents a challenge due to the endogeneity of ownership structures. We develop and test an empirical framework that allows us to separate selection from treatment effects of large shareholders. Individual blockholders tend to hold blocks in public firms located close to where they reside. Using this empirical observation, we develop an instrument (the density of wealthy individuals near a firm’s headquarters) for the presence of large, nonmanagerial individual shareholders in firms. These shareholders have a large impact on firms, controlling for selection effects.

Regulatory Forbearance in the U.S. Insurance Industry: The Effects of Removing Capital Requirements for an Asset Class

Review of Financial Studies 2022 35(12), 5438-5482 open access
Abstract We analyze the effects of a reform of capital regulation for U.S. insurance companies in 2009. The reform eliminates capital buffers against unexpected losses associated with portfolio holdings of MBS, but not for other fixed-income assets. After the reform, insurance companies are much more likely to retain downgraded MBS compared to other downgraded assets. This pattern is more pronounced for financially constrained insurers. Exploiting discontinuities in the reform’s implementation, we can identify the relevance of the capital requirements channel. We also document that the insurance industry crowds outs other investors in the new issuance of (high-yield) MBS. Authors have furnished an Internet Appendix, which is available on the Oxford University Press Web site next to the link to the final published paper online.