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Insolvency experience, risk-based capital, and prompt corrective action in property-liability insurance

Journal of Banking & Finance 1995 19(3-4), 511-527 open access
This paper analyzes the accuracy of the risk-based capital formula for property-liability insurers that was adopted in 1993 by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC). A logit analysis is conducted on a large sample of solvent and insolvent insurers spanning the period 1989–1993. Predictive accuracy is very low when the ratio of NAIC risk-based capital to actual capital is the sole indendent variable in the logit analysis, but accuracy improves significantly when the components of the formula and variables for firm size and organizational form are used as regressors. Improvements in the formula are needed to facilitate prompt corrective action and reduce insolvency costs.

Matching Mechanisms for Refugee Resettlement

American Economic Review 2023 113(10), 2689-2717 open access
Current refugee resettlement processes account for neither the preferences of refugees nor the priorities of hosting communities. We introduce a new framework for matching with multidimensional knapsack constraints that captures the (possibly multidimensional) sizes of refugee families and the capacities of communities. We propose four refugee resettlement mechanisms and two solution concepts that can be used in refugee resettlement matching under various institutional and informational constraints. Our theoretical results and simulations using refugee resettlement data suggest that preference-based matching mechanisms can improve match efficiency, respect priorities of communities, and incentivize refugees to report where they would prefer to settle. (JEL C78, D82, J15, J18)

Does Investor Misvaluation Drive the Takeover Market?

Journal of Finance 2006 61(2), 725-762 open access
ABSTRACT This paper uses pre‐offer market valuations to evaluate the misvaluation and Q theories of takeovers. Bidder and target valuations (price‐to‐book, or price‐to‐residual‐income‐model‐value) are related to means of payment, mode of acquisition, premia, target hostility, offer success, and bidder and target announcement‐period returns. The evidence is broadly consistent with both hypotheses. The evidence for the Q hypothesis is stronger in the pre‐1990 period than in the 1990–2000 period, whereas the evidence for the misvaluation hypothesis is stronger in the 1990–2000 period than in the pre‐1990 period.