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Competition among regulators and credit market integration

Journal of Financial Economics 2006 79(2), 401-430 open access
We analyze the incentives for independent bank regulators with financially integrated jurisdictions to form a regulatory union. Externalities lead competing regulators to choose suboptimally low standards. Centralized regulation, however, entails a loss of flexibility if equal standards must be applied across jurisdictions. We find that, first, centralized regulation will more likely emerge among relatively homogeneous jurisdictions/countries. Second, centralized regulation will be unanimously preferred to independence only if it entails standards higher than those of the country with the highest individual standards. Third, financial integration among more than two jurisdictions may prevent partial unions, which, in turn, may prevent more comprehensive agreements

Does stock option-based executive compensation induce risk-taking? An analysis of the banking industry

Journal of Banking & Finance 2006 30(3), 915-945 open access
We investigate the relation between option-based executive compensation and market measures of risk for a sample of commercial banks during the period of 1992–2000. We show that following deregulation, banks have increasingly employed stock option-based compensation. As a result, the structure of executive compensation induces risk-taking, and the stock of option-based wealth also induces risk-taking. The results are robust across alternative risk measures, statistical methodologies, and model specifications. Overall, our results support a management risk-taking hypothesis over a managerial risk aversion hypothesis. Our results have important implications for regulators in monitoring the risk levels of banks

The Regulatory Record of the Greenspan Fed

American Economic Review 2006 96(2), 170-173 open access
Just describing how the Federal Reserve made possible the expansion of commercial banks’ powers to permit them to engage in investment banking could occupy this entire essay. That change occurred in several stages, beginning with the Fed’s decision in 1987 to allow small inroads by banks into investment banking. Those changes created a favorable track record, which laid the groundwork for the Administration’s and Congress’s willingness to eliminate restrictions entirely in 1999. Can one identify a “philosophy of regulation” that underlies the regulatory advocacy of the Fed under Chairman Greenspan? Although the Fed’s advocacy on various matters may appear somewhat contradictory or, at least, philosophically heterodox, the Fed has behaved in a manner that is remarkably predictable, once one takes account of the political arena in which both regulatory and monetary policy as made

The Effect of Issuing Biased Earnings Forecasts on Analysts' Access to Management and Survival

Journal of Accounting Research 2006 44(5), 965-999 open access
This study offers evidence on the earnings forecast bias analysts use to please firm management and the associated benefits they obtain from issuing such biased forecasts in the years prior to Regulation Fair Disclosure. Analysts who issue initial optimistic earnings forecasts followed by pessimistic earnings forecasts before the earnings announcement produce more accurate earnings forecasts and are less likely to be fired by their employers. The effect of such biased earnings forecasts on forecast accuracy and firing is stronger for analysts who follow firms with heavy insider selling and hard‐to‐predict earnings. The above results hold regardless of whether a brokerage firm has investment banking business or not. These results are consistent with the hypothesis that analysts use biased earnings forecasts to curry favor with firm management in order to obtain better access to management's private information