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Does individual investor trading impact firm valuation?

Journal of Corporate Finance 2015 35, 120-135
Motivated by recent evidence of informed trading by individual investors (Kaniel et al., 2012, Kelley and Tetlock, 2013, Wang and Zhang, 2015), we posit that individual investor trading enhances firm performance. Consistent with the conjecture, we find that individual investor trading positively impacts firm value. The results are robust to inclusion of year, industry and firm fixed effects, alternative model specifications, a control for endogeneity, Granger causality test, matched sample analysis and subsample analyses. The positive effect of individual investor trading on firm value is stronger for firms with higher information production and stocks with higher spread, consistent with the information and spread channel mechanism. Our results suggest that trading by individual investors enhances firm value by improving stock price informativeness and reducing spread.

Leader versus lagger: How the timing of financial reports affects audit quality and investment efficiency

Contemporary Accounting Research 2024 41(4), 2163-2198
This paper examines how relative timing affects the quality of financial reports in a staggered reporting system in which some firms report earlier than others. We show that the audit quality of the leading firm exceeds that of the lagger. Investment efficiency also differs systematically across firms, depending on the relative reporting timing as well as the audit market structure. Audit regulations mitigate the misalignment of interests between auditors and investors but limit the effect of information spillovers. We characterize the socially optimal auditing standards and show how and why imposing minimum audit quality requirements complements and/or substitutes for adjusting auditors' legal liability. Overall, we show that a staggered reporting system dominates a simultaneous reporting system in enhancing audit quality and investment efficiency through regulation.

Revenue Recognition in a Multiperiod Agency Setting

Journal of Accounting Research 2002 40(1), 67-83
This paper examines how various revenue recognition rules affect the incentive properties of accounting information in a stewardship setting. Our analysis demonstrates that if revenues are recognized according to the realization principle, a single performance measure based on aggregated accounting information can be used to provide desirable production and effort incentives to the manager. In contrast, mark‐to‐market accounting does not provide efficient aggregation of raw information to solve the stewardship problem. Mark‐to‐market accounting, though sensible from a valuation perspective, fails to provide desirable incentives because it relies on the anticipated, rather than the actual, performance of the manager. We also consider a setting in which the manager can control the timing of the firm’s sales. It then becomes desirable to modify the realization principle and apply the lower‐of‐cost‐or‐market valuation rule. The desirable accounting thus exhibits a conservative bias.

Accounting Treatment of Inherent versus Incentive Uncertainties and the Capital Structure of the Firm

Journal of Accounting Research 2006 44(1), 145-176 open access
This paper studies the accounting treatment of uncertainty and how it affects a firm's capital structure. We distinguish two sources of uncertainty that raise reliability concerns: inherent uncertainty and incentive uncertainty. By inherent uncertainty, we refer to uncertainty about the quality of raw information regarding future cash flows. By incentive uncertainty, we refer to uncertainty about the quality of accounting numbers conveying the raw information. We explore features of accounting that can effectively deal with these two types of uncertainties in order to aid in the debt-equity decision of the firm. To handle inherent uncertainty, preferable accounting involves flexible revenue/expense recognition rules that recognize more profit when the uncertainty level is low. To deal with incentive uncertainty, a stringent revenue/expense recognition rule may be desirable to fend off management's opportunistic reporting behavior. Inflexible accounting rules cause a firm's financing choices to deviate from what would hold with complete information. Given any accounting rule, an information environment with a lower (higher) uncertainty regarding future cash inflows leads to higher (lower) expected debt financing. This is because assessed default risk is increasing in the uncertainty of future cash inflows, holding the uncertainty of the outflows constant.

Asymmetric decrease in liquidity trading before earnings announcements and the announcement return premium

Journal of Financial Economics 2015 118(2), 383-398
Investors are reluctant to trade in the high-information-asymmetry days before earnings announcements. We show that the decrease in liquidity trading before announcements is asymmetric. We analyze buy and sell orders of investors with passive investment strategies, and find they do not reduce their sales as much as their purchases in the days before announcements. Investors needing liquidity sell stocks at a discount relative to the post-announcement price, and these preannouncement liquidity sales are a significant driver of the average positive returns, or return premium, known to characterize announcement days.

Anomalous stock returns around internet firms’ earnings announcements

Journal of Accounting and Economics 2003 34(1-3), 249-271 open access
This paper presents evidence of anomalies in internet firms’ stock returns surrounding their quarterly earnings announcements. There is a general runup in prices in the days prior to the earnings announcements, followed by a price reversal lasting for several days. The magnitude of the market-adjusted returns associated with these price movements exceeds 11 percent over a 10-day period. We find little evidence to suggest that these returns can be explained either by the earnings news disclosed or by risk changes. Additional analyses suggest that these return patterns are driven, at least in part, by price pressure.

Accounting Conservatism, the Quality of Earnings, and Stock Returns

The Accounting Review 2002 77(2), 237-264
When a firm practices conservative accounting, changes in the amount of its investments can affect the quality of its earnings. Growth in investment reduces reported earnings and creates reserves. Reducing investment releases those reserves, increasing earnings. If the change in investment is temporary, then current earnings is temporarily depressed or inflated, and thus is not a good indicator of future earnings. This study develops diagnostic measures of this joint effect of investment and conservative accounting. We find that these measures forecast differences in future return on net operating assets relative to current return on net operating assets. Moreover, these measures also forecast stock returns—indicating that investors do not appreciate how conservatism and changes in investment combine to raise questions about the quality of reported earnings.