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A Test of the Extended Functional Fixation Hypothesis
[The traditional functional fixation view states that investors are always unsophisticated and, therefore, fail to unscramble the true cash flow implications of accounting data. At the other extreme, the efficient market hypothesis states that investors are always sophisticated and very accurately unscramble the true cash flow implications of accounting data. This article proposes and tests a middle ground between these opposite views. The extended functional fixation view proposes that when responding to accounting data, sometimes a firm's stock price is set by a sophisticated marginal investor, and sometimes it is set by an unsophisticated marginal investor. The likelihood that the stock price will be set by the latter type is conjectured to be measured by the relative proportion of a firm's stock held by unsophisticated investors as a whole. The extended functional fixation view is tested by examining the stock price reaction to quarterly earnings announcements of firms that undertook debt-equity swaps. Swaps produced an immediate accounting gain that amounted to about 20 percent of earnings for the quarter in which the swap was undertaken. Because sophisticated investors would have seen this gain at the initial swap announcement, the efficient market view predicts that there will be no stock price reaction to the re-announcement of the gain as part of the swap quarter's earnings. However, the extended functional fixation view predicts that there will be a reaction to the re-announcement of the gain because unsophisticated investors would not have known about the gain until the earnings announcement, at which time they would have misinterpreted it as a real gain, rather as just a realization of a previously unrealized capital gain. The larger the likelihood that a swapping firm's stock price was set by unsophisticated investors, the larger the stock price reaction. Overall, the empirical evidence presented appears inconsistent with the efficient market view, but consistent with the extended functional fixation view.]
1988 Competitive Manuscript Award: Did Firms Undertake Debt-Equity Swaps for an Accounting Paper Profit or True Financial Gain?
[This study examines the testable implications of two hypotheses for why firms undertook debt-equity swaps over the period August 1981-June 1984. The first hypothesis is that firms used the accounting-based reported earnings gain from the swap to smooth an unexpected and transitory decrease in their earnings per share. The second hypothesis is that a swap enabled the firm to relax potentially binding sinking-fund constraints in the cheapest feasible manner. Empirically, this study concludes that firms undertook debt-equity swaps for both reasons, but that swapping to smooth earnings was a much stronger motivation than swapping to relax potentially binding sinking-fund constraints.]
Down and Out in North America: Recent Trends in Poverty Rates in the United States and Canada
This paper examines why Canadian poverty rates fell relative to U. S. poverty rates during the periods 1970–1979 and 1979–1986. During the 1970s the principal reason for declining Canadian poverty rates is higher economic growth. During the 1980s, however, differences in government transfer policy are the main cause of relative poverty change in the two countries. Virtually all of the 3.3 point fall in relative Canadian/U.S. poverty rates from 1979 to 1986 can be attributed to expansions in the Canadian transfer system and simultaneous contractions in U. S. transfers.
Multiperiod Decision Models with Alternating Choice as a Solution to the Duopoly Problem
Introduction, 410. — Single-period versus multiperiod decision making, 411. — Simultaneous choice in a multiperiod process, 413. — Alternating choice in a multiperiod process, 416. — The method of backward induction, 417.— General quadratic profit functions, 420. — Reduced quadratic profit functions, 422. — Asymptotic results, 425. — The cost of competition and the benefits of trust, 427. — Conclusion, 428.
[Satisfactory Profits as a Guide to Firm Behavior]: Reply
Organizational Factors in the Theory of Oligopoly
Introduction, 44. — I. Motivational assumptions, 46. — II. The planning process, 49. — III. Organizational slack, 53. — IV. Empirical relevance, 55. — V. Theoretical relevance, 58. — VI. Summary, 62.