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Financial intermediation services and competition analyses: Review and paths forward for improvement

Journal of Financial Intermediation 2024 57, 101072 open access
Financial intermediation has distinct value from transforming financial claims to create liquidity and mitigate risks. However, research and policy competition analyses often neglect this value or minimally account for it. We review findings to better incorporate this value. We suggest shifting the mix of individual services analyzed to better represent the distinct value, focusing more on topics closely aligned with the distinct value concept beyond individual services, and accounting for the multimarket nature of financial intermediation. We recommend attention on future competition with digital FinTech, BigTech, and DeFi firms and policies to best preserve the distinct value of financial intermediation.

Bank sentiment and liquidity hoarding

Contemporary Accounting Research 2024 41(3), 1513-1542 open access
We analyze how bank sentiment affects bank liquidity hoarding, distinguishing unexplained beliefs of bank managers from fundamental‐based beliefs. We build a bank management sentiment measure from textual analysis of 10‐Ks and utilize a comprehensive bank liquidity hoarding measure. We find that negative bank sentiment increases liquidity hoarding not warranted by a bank's fundamental conditions or external circumstances. Further analysis confirms that our findings reflect bank volition rather than being driven solely by borrowers or depositors. We address endogeneity concerns using exogenous weather conditions as instruments. Overall, our findings suggest that bank sentiment can influence how much liquidity banks provide to the economy and financial system.

Government guarantees and bank liquidity creation around the world

Journal of Banking & Finance 2024 158, 107048
Governments provide bank guarantees, such as deposit insurance. While risk effects are well researched, impacts on bank output remain largely unexplored. We investigate bank output effects using data from 75 countries/regions on bank liquidity creation, a comprehensive bank output measure. We address reverse causality, examining home-country guarantee effects on liquidity creation by subsidiary banks in foreign host nations, and mitigate omitted-variables concerns with host country × year fixed effects and home country controls. Findings suggest home-country guarantees decrease subsidiary bank liquidity creation up to 10%, and hold prior to, during, and after the Global Financial Crisis.

Piercing through Opacity: Relationships and Credit Card Lending to Consumers and Small Businesses during Normal Times and the COVID-19 Crisis

Journal of Political Economy 2024 132(2), 484-551
We build a bridge between relationship lending and transactions lending—investigating relationship effects on contract terms for credit cards, a relatively pure transactions-lending technology. Using more than 1 million accounts, we find that during normal times, consumers with relationships obtain better terms but small businesses with relationships do not. Both groups obtain improved terms during COVID-19, consistent with intertemporal smoothing—relationship borrowers obtain more favorable terms during crises, paid for by worse terms in normal times. Among other findings, CARES Act impediments to reporting consumer delinquencies to credit bureaus, designed to protect customers, reduced informational value of credit scores, penalizing safer consumers.