To make high-quality research more accessible and easier to explore.

Fields:
3 results

Split-panel Jackknife Estimation of Fixed-effect Models

Review of Economic Studies 2015 82(3), 991-1030
Maximum-likelihood estimation of nonlinear models with fixed effects is subject to the incidental-parameter problem. This typically implies that point estimates suffer from large bias and confidence intervals have poor coverage. This article presents a jackknife method to reduce this bias and to obtain confidence intervals that are correctly centred under rectangular-array asymptotics. The method is explicitly designed to handle dynamics in the data, and yields estimators that are straightforward to implement and can be readily applied to a range of models and estimands. We provide distribution theory for estimators of model parameters and average effects, present validity tests for the jackknife, and consider extensions to higher-order bias correction and to two-step estimation problems. An empirical illustration relating to female labour-force participation is also provided.

Instrumental Models and Indirect Encompassing

Econometrica 1998 66(3), 673 open access
We introduce nonnested hypotheses tests using indirect, simulation-based estimation procedures. We propose different test statistics and carefully examine the corresponding implicit mi hypotheses. A notion of indirect encompassing comes up naturally, which may be compared to the usual encompassing conditions. Then we show how these methods extend standard specification and overidentification tests.

On comparing zero-alpha tests across multifactor asset pricing models

Journal of Banking & Finance 2015 61, S235-S240 open access
Evaluating competing multifactor asset pricing models involves comparing the statistical significance of their mean pricing errors (alphas). Unfortunately, this comparison favors imprecisely estimated models because p-values tend to be higher in more noisy models. To avoid false impressions of relative success at tests for zero mean pricing errors, we develop a notion of comparative p-values and suggest comparing these instead of the raw p-values. This comparison gives more precisely estimated models a fairer chance or, equivalently, quantifies how much easier it is for imprecisely estimated models, by comparison, to pass the test.