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Affirmative Action and Labor Markets

Journal of Labor Economics 1984 2(2), 269-301
Affirmative action remains controversial. The controversy extends from the original antidiscrimination legislation and its interpretation to estimates of affirmative action's effect on the labor market. This paper provides a progress report on our recent efforts at detecting the effects of affirmative action on minority wages and employment. Although we find a substantial increase in wages for black men and black women over our sample period, the timing of these wage changes is surprising. Most of the wage gains came prior to 1974, before the establishment of an effective monitoring structure for affirmative action. Indeed, when the powers of the EEOC and OFCC are greatest, the wage effects for young blacks are somewhat perverse. Using EEO-1 reports we find a major shift in black employment toward firms most vulnerable to the monitoring and potential sanctions of the affirmative action programs. As with wages, the shift in minority employment came prior to the expansion of the powers and budgets of the EEOC and OFCC. We are surprised by the timing of these changes and are concerned about the quality of the EEO-1 reports.

Probabilistic Social Choice Based on Simple Voting Comparisons

Review of Economic Studies 1984 51(4), 683-692
A social choice procedure is developed for selecting an alternative from a finite set on the basis of paired-comparison voting. Ballot data are used to construct a lottery on the alternatives that is socially as preferred as every other lottery. The constructed lottery is then used to select a winner. An axiomatization of social preferences among lotteries that justifies the procedure is included. The procedure will always select a consensus majority alternative when one exists, and it will never select an alternative that is Pareto dominated by another alternative.

A Note on the Incentive for a Monopolist to Increase Fixed Costs as a Barrier to Entry

Quarterly Journal of Economics 1984 99(2), 399
Journal Article A Note on the Incentive for a Monopolist to Increase Fixed Costs as a Barrier to Entry Get access William P. Rogerson William P. Rogerson Stanford University Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Volume 99, Issue 2, May 1984, Pages 399–402, https://doi.org/10.2307/1885536 Published: 01 May 1984

Commercial Policy and Aggregate Employment Under Rational Expectations

Quarterly Journal of Economics 1984 99(3), 567 open access
Commercial policy is often advocated as a useful tool for combating such macroeconomic ills as unemployment and chronic balance of payments deficits. This paper examines the role of expectations in determining the output and employment effects of various commercial policies. In a rational expectations framework in which workers have incomplete information, it is shown that (i) the short-run output and employment effects of commercial policy changes depend crucially on the correlation between real and nominal wages and that (ii) the use of commercial policy as an instrument of short-run stabilization policy cannot be divorced from its long-run effects on real wages, output, and employment.

Market Structure and Rivalry: New Evidence with a Non-Linear Model

The Review of Economics and Statistics 1984 66(4), 678
It is argued that the estimation techniques used by previous researchers to study rivalry in financial markets are inappropriate. The assumptions of both ordinary least-squares and Tobi analysis are violated when these techniques are used to analyze mobility and turnover data. To overcome the difficulties in the previous studies, we suggest a non-linear model (which is closely related to the Poisson model). This model is designed for describing frequency data and is not subject to the criticisms to which ordinary least-square and Tobut are subject.