We study the role of logistics information in the stock price discovery process. Using a proprietary dataset on parcel-level express delivery service records from one of the largest express service providers in China, we find that express delivery contains firm-specific information for stock pricing. A long/short portfolio of buying (selling) stocks with high (low) quarterly growth in the number of parcels sent by firms generates an 8.23 percent risk-adjusted annual return. The return predictability is more significantly driven by document, light, and business-to-business parcels, which reflects the intensity of a firm’s overall operations (rather than just sales growth), and by parcels sent to new addresses, which represents new business expansion. Echoing this return predictability, parcel growth also predicts firm growth, profitability, and earnings surprises. Finally, we provide evidence on return predictability associated with topology of logistic network identified by parcel delivery data.

This study investigates the relationship between credit ratings and firm innovation activities using a cross-country sample over the 1995–2020 period. Exploiting the setting of rating agencies’ sovereign ceiling policies, our main analysis shows that a one-notch reduction in corporate credit ratings engendered by sovereign downgrades, on average, leads to a 5.90% reduction in research and development (R&D) spending. We identify the substitution of external acquisitions for internal expenditures and the increase in creditor control as the underlying mechanisms of the causal relation. Moreover, the negative impact of credit rating downgrades on R&D investment results in deterioration in patent output and firm performance. The cross-sectional analysis shows that the observed effects on innovation and firm performance are concentrated in firms with higher external finance dependence or more growth options.

Using the implementation of the Electronic Data Gathering, Analysis, and Retrieval (EDGAR) system from 1993 to 1996 as a shock to information dissemination technologies, we examine how a significant reduction in disclosure processing costs affects the real economy. We find that the EDGAR implementation leads to an increase in corporate investment and that this effect is concentrated in value firms. We provide evidence that improved equity financing and enhanced managerial incentives are likely the underlying mechanisms. Specifically, the EDGAR implementation leads to an increase in a firm's stock liquidity, a decrease in the cost of equity capital, and an increase in the level of equity financing. Consistent with the monitoring effect of broad information dissemination, the EDGAR implementation leads to an increase in a firm's operating performance. Our findings suggest that it is important to consider information dissemination beyond information production when examining the real effects of corporate disclosures.

This study investigates the relationship between internet penetration and venture capital (VC) investment in China. Exploiting staggered inclusion in demonstration cities under the Broadband China strategy as a positive shock to internet penetration, our difference-in-differences analysis shows that this policy shock results in an increase in VC investments in demonstration cities relative to others. Moreover, the increase in VC investments is concentrated in early stage financing and young start-ups. In terms of VC fund sources, we find a stronger effect on foreign and independent VCs. Our mechanism analysis suggests that the effect of the broadband rollout is mainly driven by cities with higher ex-ante costs of information acquisition and that such costs are reduced by the improvement of internet-based network infrastructure. Finally, we provide additional evidence on the benefits to established companies by showing that broadband rollout improves the information environment of listed firms. Our study sheds new light on the economic consequences of infrastructure development that reduces information acquisition costs in China.

Exploiting mergers between lenders and shareholders of the same firm as an exogenous shock to shareholder–creditor conflicts, we examine the causal effect of these conflicts on firms' ex ante expected stock price crash risk evident in the options implied volatility smirk. The decrease in conflicts of interest between lenders and shareholders induces dual holders to encourage the disclosure of more information to alleviate costly information asymmetry with other investors and better execute their oversight role in constraining managers' bad news suppression. Consistent with expectations, we find that a firm's ex ante expected crash risk declines after a shareholder–creditor merger. We also report strong, robust evidence that the negative impact of mergers on firms' expected crash risk increases when institutional investors or lenders have a greater stake in the treatment firms or when shareholder–creditor conflicts are apt to be exacerbated. Additionally, we document that firms issue management earnings forecasts (especially bad news forecasts) more frequently after these mergers. Finally, we find that expected crash risk decreases more after mergers in firms suffering worse information asymmetry and with weak monitoring mechanisms. Our evidence suggests that option market participants value the dual holder's role in deterring managers' bad news hoarding.

We investigate the role of financial analysts in product quality failures. Relying on information about product recalls, we first show that analyst coverage on average reduces product quality, particularly when managers face greater short-term pressure from institutional investors. However, after identifying a subgroup of analysts who raise questions on product-related issues in earnings conference calls, we find that coverage by these “product analysts” enhances rather than compromises product quality. Firms with greater product analyst coverage are also more likely to retire low-quality products. Additional analysis demonstrates that product analysts help safeguard product quality by further probing into product-related matters and issuing more timely recommendation downgrades after firms announce product deficiencies. Data Availability: Data are available from the public sources cited in the text.