We examine how climate risk influences analyst forecast accuracy proxied by forecast error and dispersion. Using country-level climate risk estimated with time trends in droughts, we find that analyst forecasts are less accurate for firms in drought-prone countries. This effect of climate risk is stronger when climate risks are denoted in earnings forecasts, and when firms’ home countries have greater reliance on hydroelectric sources in electricity generation, more important agricultural and food industries, and active stances concerning climate change. Overall, our findings suggest noteworthy implications of climate risk on the financial markets via analyst forecast accuracy.

This paper examines the effect of local religiosity on employee treatment, proxied by workplace safety incidents. Using the establishment-level data compiling on the incidents of work-related injuries, we find that employees of the establishments in more religious counties get less injured than those in less religious counties. We further find that a reduction in occupational accidents is more evident for establishments in counties dominated by one religious denomination, strengthening our argument on community solidarity and homophily stemming from religious networks. Firms whose establishments are located in high religiosity counties are less likely to violate workplace conduct and more likely to take workplace safety measures. Moreover, firms with more work-related injuries exhibit poorer firm performance. Overall, our findings suggest that local religiosity has a value implication through human capital protection.

Previous literature finds a positive association between short-term changes in institutional holdings (especially those of local institutions) and subsequent short-term stock performance. We contribute by investigating the importance of geographical proximity under policy uncertainty. We show that the short-term informational advantage of local institutions only thrives in areas that are either politically closely aligned with the president or where the state government (governorship and legislature) is under the control of one party. Our findings are important in understanding the avenues through which geographical proximity may provide the basis for exploitable informational advantages.