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News as sources of jumps in stock returns: Evidence from 21 million news articles for 9000 companies

Journal of Financial Economics 2022 145(2), 1-17 open access
Material news events can be potentially important sources of jumps in stock returns. We collect 21 million news articles associated with more than 9000 publicly-traded companies and use textual analyses to derive measures to summarize the news. We find that stock return jumps (including time-variation in jump-size distributions and jump intensity) are significantly related to news flow frequency and content and those effects increase substantially over the last few decades. The sensitivity of jump probability to news is stronger for firms with higher media visibility, analyst coverage, and institutional ownership. This sensitivity also varies across different news categories.

Why Are Bidder Termination Provisions Included in Takeovers?

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2022 57(7), 2860-2896
We present a rationale for bidder termination provisions that considers their effect on bidders’ and targets’ joint takeover gains. The provision’s inclusion can create value by enabling termination when the target becomes less valuable to the bidder than on its own, but creates a trade-off because termination may also occur when the target is more valuable to the bidder than on its own. This trade-off explains why the provision is included in only some deals, and explains variation in termination fees. Inclusion of the provision is associated with larger combined announcement returns, provided that the termination fee is priced appropriately.