Using monthly stock and bond return data in the past 150 years (1855–2001) for both the US and the UK, this study documents time-varying stock–bond correlation over macroeconomic conditions (the business cycle, the inflation environment and monetary policy stance). There are different patterns of time variation in stock–bond correlations over the business cycle between US and UK, which implies that bonds may be a better hedge against stock market risk and offer more diversification benefits to stock investors in the US than in the UK. Further, there is a general pattern across both the US and the UK during the post-1923 subperiod and during the whole sample period: higher stock–bond correlations tend to follow higher short rates and (to a lesser extent) higher inflation rates.

This study examines the effects of trade liberalization on municipal financing costs. Using the granting of permanent normal trade relations (PNTR) to China as an exogenous shock, we find that U.S. counties that are more exposed to trade liberalization issue bonds with significantly higher tax-adjusted yield spreads. Moreover, these counties pay higher gross spreads and are less likely to issue bonds after PNTR. We also show that secondary market yield spreads increase significantly in response to the U.S. granting of PNTR to China. In addition, we provide evidence that a reduction in debt serving capacity serves as a channel underlying the trade shock effects. Our findings highlight the costs of trade liberalization for public finance.

Financial distress is a prevalent issue among the youth. An influential stream of literature has argued that religion wields significant influence over human life. Using a representative sample of U.S. young people, we explore whether religiosity matters for financial distress. To deal with endogeneity issue, we exploit arguably exogeneous within-school variation in adolescents’ peers. By instrumenting an adolescent's own religiosity with the religiosity of their school peer group, we find that higher levels of religiosity causally and significantly reduce the likelihood of financial distress at young adulthood. Our results withstand a variety of robustness checks. To shed light on the mechanisms, we explore the impact of religiosity on an individual's sociability and various psychological attributes. We find that more religious individuals hold higher levels of self-control, a crucial attribute that aids in averting financial distress. Our study contributes to the literature by providing rigorous causal evidence that identifies religiosity as a meaningful predictor of reduced financial distress among young adults.

Siblings are important sources of support. Male siblings, in particular, are valuable extended family resources in patriarchal societies such as China. This paper examines the effects of the number of brothers on household stock market participation in China. We find that having more brothers increases both the probability of stock market participation and the portfolio share in stocks. This positive effect is more pronounced for individuals who face high income risk, suffer from poor health, lack private insurance, and reside in areas with low financial development and high gender discrimination. In addition, the brother effect persists in recent periods. This evidence highlights the importance of informal risk-sharing networks in household investment decisions. Our results imply that demographic changes such as fertility decline might have unnoticed but sizable impacts on household portfolio choice, especially in countries with strong family ties.

We investigate whether air pollution affects household stock market participation. Using representative household survey data in China, we find that households significantly reduce their financial risk taking when exposed to heavy air pollution. This finding is robust to an instrumental variable analysis and a regression discontinuity test based on the Huai River policy. To explore the underlying mechanisms, we find that air pollution significantly impairs health, increases unemployment risk, impedes cognitive performance, and dampens mood. We further show that these channels explain a non-trivial proportion of the relationship between air pollution and stock market participation. Our study sheds light on the far-reaching influence of air pollution on households’ well-being from the perspective of portfolio choice.

This paper investigates whether beauty, an important natural endowment, affects investment decisions. Using data from the Wisconsin Longitudinal Survey (WLS), which provides a photo-based measure of facial beauty, we find that better-looking individuals are more likely to own stocks and invest a larger share of wealth in stocks. We consider a wide range of potential mediators that may drive this relationship between beauty and stock market participation. We find that income and sociability explain a large portion of the beauty effect. For both males and females, beauty has a significant positive impact on stock market participation. Using another dataset that includes the interviewer's rating of the respondent's physical attractiveness, we find similar results. Our study contributes to a better understanding of the economic returns to beauty and the source of heterogeneity in household portfolio choice.