Knowledge that Transforms

We argue that since bank loans and publicly traded sub-investment-grade debt, or junk bonds, are close substitutes for one another, the recent failure of Drexel Burnham Lambert created a competitive opportunity for commercial banks. Consistent with this hypothesis, we observe within the commercial banking industry a positive wealth effect associated with Drexel′s failure. The distribution of the wealth effect across commercial banks and Drexel′s investment banking rivals is consistent with the wealth effect being primarily a reflection of market expectations of a return to traditional intermediated funding of sub-investment-grade debt. Journal of Economic Literature Classification Number: G2, Financial Institutions and Services.

We review the contemporary theory of financial intermediation. The focus is on contributions in the past 15 years or so that have advanced our understanding of why financial intermediaries exist, the credit allocation and other services they provide in spot and forward credit markets, the contractual nature and allocational consequences of the claims they issue, and the optimal design of bank regulation. Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: 310, 312, and 314.

This paper analyzes the effects of market value accounting (MVA) on loan maturity. I show that in the presence of asymmetric information MVA introduces a bias into asset valuation against longer-term illiquid assets. This bias increases interest rates for long-maturity loans and induces a shift to short-term self-liquidating loans. With the liquidity production of banks curtailed, borrowers may face "excessive" liquidation. The desirability of MVA applied to loans is thus questionable. Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: G21, G28, M41.

Two-step selection methods are applied to the 1983 Survey of Consumer Finances to examine the extent to which borrowing constraints restrict household access to debt and the manner in which lenders vary debt limits across borrowers. Results indicate that 30% of young families are credit constrained, and that roughly half of these families would hold at least $12,000 (1982 dollars) more debt if borrowing constraints were relaxed. Debt limits increase with income and wealth, and are relaxed for families with a good credit history. In addition, minorities face tighter debt limits and are more likely to be credit constrained than white families. Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: E51, J71, D12.

This paper examines why we have marketmakers (specialists in stock markets, used-car dealers) in some markets and matchmakers (real-estate brokers, employment agencies) in others. Using a bilateral search model, it is shown that when the valuations of the agents are private information, marketmaking might yield higher or lower profits and welfare effects than matchmaking, depending on the efficiency and the cost of search and on the distribution of valuations of the agents. This is in contrast to an earlier result that when the agents' valuations are common knowledge marketmaking yields higher profits and greater welfare effects than matchmaking.

Standard models of panics do not allow for trade between banks and assume that a run bank's liquidation costs are determined exogenously. We develop a model in which banks trade with each other and liquidation costs are determined endogenously in a strategic environment. The model reproduces a panic's characteristic fall in stock prices, rise in interest rates, and wave of bank runs. It also accounts for the seasonal timing of panics, the change in interest rates across panics, and international differences in panic frequency. The roles of withdrawal suspension, lender of last resort, and deposit insurance are also investigated.

We analyze the value to firms of being able to renegotiate covenants in their debt contracts. Covenants control agency problems, but also reduce firms' flexibility to pursue profitable investments. Initial covenants will be more severe for renegotiable contracts, because they can be relaxed selectively when the lender believes they pose an inefficient constraint. We show firms with high ex ante credit risk find the option to renegotiate most valuable. The model is used to explain why bank loans and privately placed debt typically have harsher covenants than public debt and to predict which firms will borrow using closely held debt. Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: D82, G21, G32.

In our model risk-neutral shareholders need to motivate a manager to select among projects with different risks, and to work hard in implementing the chosen project. Curvature of the manager's compensation contract as a function of profit affects his attitude toward project risk. The optimal curvature depends on the trade-off between controlling project risk and motivating effort. The analysis predicts greater option-based compensation when there are desirable risky growth opportunities (proxied by Tobin's q or R&D expenditures) and less option compensation when there are effective monitoring institutions (such as outside directors and bank lenders).