This paper tests the exclusion of lagged growth rates of money and output from regression equations, with serially correlated disturbances, for the expected real interest rate. The authors empirical approach is an extension of the empirical strategies of Eugene F. Fama (1975) and Frederic S. Mishkin (1981)--which invoke the orthogonality of the inflation forecast error to predetermined regressors under the maintained hypothesis of rational expectations. They discuss the implications of their tests for simple real-business-cycle models.

This paper evaluates the performance of a monetary aggregate that is constructed from principles of economic and index number theory. Results from tests for weak separability indicate that wholesale deposits should not be aggregated with other U.K. financial assets; they currently are included, however, in broad monetary aggregates published by the Bank of England. Financial asset groupings passing the weak separability tests then were aggregated using both simple-sum and Divisia weights. In each case, the Divisia aggregates were more closely related to the growth of nominal GDP and had stable demand for money functions. Copyright 1991 by MIT Press. (This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

This paper utilizes unique survey data on labor union coverage at the firm level to examine union effects on the profitability of 705 U.S. companies during the 1970s. Market value and earnings are estimated to be about 10 percent-15 percent lower in an average unionized company than in a nonunion company, following extensive control for firm and industry characteristics. Deleterious union effects on firm profitability are sizable throughout the 1972-80 period, but vary considerably across industries. The relatively poor profit performance of unionized companies may help explain the recent decline in U.S. union membership.

This paper presents a technique of cost-function estimation, based on the theory of finite mixture distributions, which allows for the simultaneous existence of multiple technologies of production when the researcher does not know which observations correspond to which technologies. The finite mixture technique provides estimates of the proportions of firms using the various technologies, facilitates comparisons between technologies, and preserves the traditional interpretations of cost estimation. After describing the mixture procedure, the technique is illustrated on a large sample of savings and loan associations, and it is concluded that this industry exhibits multiple technologies of production.