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Do bankers sacrifice value to build empires? Managerial incentives, industry consolidation, and financial performance

Journal of Banking & Finance 2003 27(3), 417-447
Bank consolidation is a global phenomenon that may enhance stakeholders’ value if managers do not sacrifice value to build empires. We find strong evidence of managerial entrenchment at US bank holding companies that have higher levels of managerial ownership, better growth opportunities, poorer financial performance, and smaller asset size. At banks without entrenched management, both asset acquisitions and sales are associated with improved performance. At banks with entrenched management, sales are related to smaller improvements while acquisitions are associated with worse performance. Consistent with scale economies, an increase in assets by internal growth is associated with better performance at most banks.

Drilling and Debt

Journal of Finance 2020 75(3), 1287-1325
This paper documents a previously unrecognized debt‐related investment distortion. Using detailed project‐level data for 69 firms in the oil and gas industry, we find that highly levered firms pull forward investment, completing projects early at the expense of long‐run project returns and project value. This behavior is particularly pronounced prior to debt renegotiations. We test several channels that could explain this behavior and find evidence consistent with equity holders sacrificing long‐run project returns to enhance collateral values and, by extension, mitigate lending frictions at debt renegotiations.

Should Investors Avoid All Actively Managed Mutual Funds? A Study in Bayesian Performance Evaluation

Journal of Finance 2001 56(1), 45-85
This paper analyzes mutual‐fund performance from an investor's perspective. We study the portfolio‐choice problem for a mean‐variance investor choosing among a risk‐free asset, index funds, and actively managed mutual funds. To solve this problem, we employ a Bayesian method of performance evaluation; a key innovation in our approach is the development of a flexible set of prior beliefs about managerial skill. We then apply our methodology to a sample of 1,437 mutual funds. We find that some extremely skeptical prior beliefs nevertheless lead to economically significant allocations to active managers.

A Portfolio Approach to Estimating the Average Correlation Coefficient for the Constant Correlation Model

Journal of Finance 1989 44(5), 1435
This paper presents a portfolio approach to estimating the average correlation coefficient of a group of stocks which are considered for portfolio analysis. The average correlation coefficient has been shown to produce a better estimate of the future correlation matrix than individual pairwise correlations. The advantage of the approach described here is that it does not require the estimation of pairwise correlations for estimating their average.

A Portfolio Approach to Estimating the Average Correlation Coefficient for the Constant Correlation Model

Journal of Finance 1989 44(5), 1435-1438
This paper presents a portfolio approach to estimating the average correlation coefficient of a group of stocks which are considered for portfolio analysis. The average correlation coefficient has been shown to produce a better estimate of the future correlation matrix than individual pairwise correlations. The advantage of the approach described here is that it does not require the estimation of pairwise correlations for estimating their average.

Uncertainty in the Monetary Aggregates: Sources, Measurement and Policy Effects

Journal of Finance 1981 36(2), 507
David A. Pierce, Darrel W. Parke, William P. Cleveland, Agustin Maravall, Uncertainty in the Monetary Aggregates: Sources, Measurement and Policy Effects, The Journal of Finance, Vol. 36, No. 2, Papers and Proceedings of the Thirty Ninth Annual Meeting American Finance Association, Denver, September 5-7, 1980 (May, 1981), pp. 507-515