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Firm Response to Competitive Shocks: Evidence from China’s Minimum Wage Policy

Review of Economic Studies 2020 87(6), 2639-2671
The large regional variation in minimum wage levels during the period 2002–8 in China implies that Chinese manufacturing firms experienced competitive shocks as a function of firm location and their low-wage employment share. We find that minimum wage hikes accelerate the input substitution from labour to capital, reduce employment growth and accelerate total factor productivity growth—particularly among the less productive firms under private Chinese or foreign ownership, but not among state-owned enterprises. The heterogeneous firm response to labour cost shocks can be explained by differences in management practices and suggests that management quality and competitive pressure are complementary.

Consumption Response to Minimum Wages: Evidence from Chinese Households

The Review of Economics and Statistics 2026 108(3), 737-754
This article evaluates the impact of the Chinese minimum-wage policy on consumption of low-wage households for the period 2002–2009. Using a representative panel of urban households, we find that the consumption response to minimum-wage income hikes increases in the share of minimum-wage income in total household income. In particular, poorer households fully consume their additional income, while meaningful negative employment effects are absent. The large marginal propensity to consume is driven by households with at least one child, while poor, childless households save two-thirds of a minimum-wage hike. The expenditure increase is concentrated in health care and education with potentially long-lasting benefits to household welfare.

Do firms hedge with foreign currency derivatives for employees?

Journal of Financial Economics 2019 133(2), 418-440
Using a sample of 3004 US firm-years with foreign sales, we provide the first evidence that a firm's employee treatment score is an important determinant of its fraction of foreign sales hedged with currency-based derivatives. The positive relation between employee treatment rating and currency hedging activity is driven by firms operating in competitive industries, businesses with relatively unique products or assets, and companies adopting aggressive business strategies. These results suggest that firms with foreign sales tend to factor employee benefits in their currency hedging policies when their acquisition, development, and retention of human capital are especially costly or highly valued.

Local Crowding‐Out in China

Journal of Finance 2020 75(6), 2855-2898
In China, between 2006 and 2013, local public debt crowded out the investment of private firms by tightening their funding constraints while leaving state‐owned firms' investment unaffected. We establish this result using a purpose‐built data set for Chinese local public debt. Private firms invest less in cities with more public debt, with the reduction in investment larger for firms located farther from banks in other cities or more dependent on external funding. Moreover, in cities where public debt is high, private firms' investment is more sensitive to internal cash flow.

Minimum Wage and Corporate Investment: Evidence from Manufacturing Firms in China

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 2022 57(1), 94-126
This article studies how minimum-wage policies affect capital investment using the industrial census of manufacturing firms in China, where minimum-wage policies vary across counties. Exploiting discontinuities in minimum-wage policy at county borders, we find that minimum wages increase capital investment. The investment response to minimum wages is stronger for firms that are labor intensive, that have more room for technological improvement, and that cannot sufficiently pass on labor costs to consumers. A natural experiment based on county jurisdictional changes further assures the causal relationship.

FinTech Credit and Entrepreneurial Growth

Journal of Finance 2024 79(5), 3309-3359 open access
Based on automated credit lines to vendors trading on Alibaba's online retail platform and a discontinuity in the credit decision algorithm, we document that a vendor's access to FinTech credit boosts its sales growth, transaction growth, and the level of customer satisfaction gauged by product, service, and consignment ratings. These effects are more pronounced for vendors characterized by greater information asymmetry about their credit risk and less collateral, which reveals the information advantage of FinTech credit over traditional credit technology.