R. Meager of University of New South Wales reviews “We Are Not Able to Live in the Sky: The Seductive Promise of Microfinance” by Mara Kardas-Nelson. The Econlit abstract of this book begins: “Explores how microfinance, the practice of lending small amounts of money directly to people facing poverty, has impacted the lives of borrowers, highlighting the experiences of women in Sierra Leone who took out microfinance loans.”

Anat R. Admati of Stanford University reviews “Unjust Debts: How Our Bankruptcy System Makes America More Unequal” by Melissa B. Jacoby. The Econlit abstract of this book begins: “Explores the impact of the bankruptcy system, promoting the argument that the present structure of reorganization cases has compromised policy objectives distant from bankruptcy's intended domain.”

I compare the impact of local tax revenue and royalties from the extraction of natural resources on governance in Colombian municipalities, leveraging plausibly exogenous variation from cadastral updates and fluctuations in the world price of oil. Higher tax revenue has a larger effect on local public goods in the areas of education, health, and water than a same-sized increase in oil royalties, despite earmarking of royalties for spending in these areas. Higher tax revenue also reduces the probability of a disciplinary prosecution against the municipal mayor, but the opposite is true for royalties, particularly for misbehavior related to public spending.

Much of Mike Jensen's research is foundational, including his early publications, which focus on empirical asset pricing. For example, Jensen's alpha, which he developss in Jensen (1968 and 1969) to evaluate mutual fund managers, is the foundation for most measures of investment performance. Similarly, in Fama et al (1969), Jensen and coauthors present the first event study, Thereafter, event studies play a major role in finance, accounting, and legal research. Finally, Black, Jensen, and Scholes (1972) develop a key insight about the importance of interdependence of sampling errors in the precision of asset pricing tests.

Variation in monthly metro area house prices unrelated to expected rents clouds the information about future rents in price-rent ratios and lagged changes in house prices. The variation in house prices unrelated to expected rents is, however, correlated across areas, and the problem is mitigated by measuring rent growth regression variables net of their monthly cross-section (across-area) means. This control for price variation unrelated to expected rents substantially enhances the information about future rents that we extract from price-rent ratios and lagged changes in house prices.

We use staggered enactments of state stakeholder constituency laws as a natural experiment to examine the effect of such laws on corporate pension risk shifting. Our analysis encompasses three components of pension risk shifting: funding risk, investment risk, and benefit risk. We observe a reduction in all three elements of pension risk shifting following the enactment of stakeholder orientation laws that promote greater consideration of stakeholder interests. We also find that the post-enactment reduction in pension risk-shifting is greater for firms with fewer investment opportunities. Overall, our results provide insight into how stakeholder constituency can mitigate an important form of risk-shifting.

We predict that institutional investors in loan syndicates charge bellwether firms lower loan spreads as compensation for having access to private information that can help identify trading opportunities in other firms' public market securities. Consistent with this prediction, when lending to bellwether firms, institutional investors charge a loan premium that is between 17 and 25 bps lower relative to non-bellwether firms, and earn annualized excess returns of 1.5–2.2% from trading in other firms' securities. Findings from cross-sectional analyses reveal that the reduction in loan spread is larger when the value of private information from bellwether firms is higher. Additionally, institutional lenders' excess returns are lower when lending to more transparent bellwether borrowers and when they pay a lower price—as reflected in loan spreads—in exchange for the private information, supporting the notion that the value of private information relates to institutional investors’ trading performance.

We analyze a panel of over 28,400 S&P 500 return forecasts by CFOs to examine whether the extent of CFOs’ miscalibration—providing forecast confidence intervals that are too narrow—decreases over time. We find no improvement with task repetition nor evidence of learning, that is, no improvement in response to past performance. Across CFOs, miscalibration appears to be a persistent personal trait. We find some evidence that the degree of miscalibration is related to birth cohort and stock market familiarity.

We assess how nine different categories of market participants trade relative to a comprehensive forecasted-return variable based on 193 predictors. Firms and short sellers tend to be the smart money—both sell stocks with low-forecasted returns, and their trades predict returns in the intended direction. Retail investors trade against forecasted returns. Retail investors’ and institutions’ trades predict returns opposite to the intended direction. This poor trading performance is driven by trades in stocks with either high- or low-forecasted returns. The forecasted-return variable predicts returns more strongly in stocks with more intense retail trading, consistent with retail investors exacerbating mispricing.